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Federal Reserve Stock Trade Alerts & Tracker

FOMC

Rate decisions and statements that move the whole market.

Federal Reserve alerts on Trade The Post are generated from this person's public posts and disclosures. They are not Trade The Path trend-channel signals. Each card below is a dated call with ticker, LONG or SHORT, and expected move.

1114settled signals
60.4%hit expected move
+3.15%avg peak move
+73.31%best call

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Signals from Federal Reserve

Federal Reserve

“Trump Announces New Investigation of Federal Reserve Governor - The Well News Trump Announces New Investigation of Federal Reserve Governor The Well News”

💡 President Trump's announcement of an investigation into a Federal Reserve Governor introduces political uncertainty into monetary policy, likely causing market volatility and a flight to safety.

  • LONG $GLD SPDR Gold Shares conf 7/10 ▲ +0.9% expected Buy $384.58 → Peak $384.50 ▼ −0.02% · $-0.02 per $100 so far · open
  • LONG $SH ProShares Short S&P500 conf 7/10 ▲ +1.5% expected Buy $31.80 → Peak $31.82 ▲ +0.06% · +$0.06 per $100 so far · open
  • LONG $TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF conf 7/10 ▲ +1% expected Buy $77.98 → Peak $78.00 ▲ +0.03% · +$0.03 per $100 so far · open
Federal Reserve

“Ticker: EU and China strike interim trade deal; Trump aims at Cook, again - Boston Herald Ticker: EU and China strike interim trade deal; Trump aims at Cook, again Boston Herald”

💡 The headline reports an interim trade deal between the EU and China, which is generally positive for global trade, while also noting Trump's continued criticism of Apple CEO Tim Cook, which could create uncertainty for Apple.

  • LONG $EZU iShares MSCI Eurozone ETF conf 7/10 ▲ +1.2% expected tracking…
  • LONG $FXI iShares China Large-Cap ETF conf 7/10 ▲ +1.7% expected Buy $34.24 → Peak $34.22 ▼ −0.06% · $-0.06 per $100 so far · open
  • SHORT $AAPL Apple Inc. conf 4/10 ▼ −0.6% expected Buy $336.25 → Peak $336.00 ▲ +0.07% · +$0.07 per $100 so far · open
Federal Reserve

“Trump sets up committee to probe Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook in latest bid to fire her - The Times of India Trump sets up committee to probe Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook in latest bid to fire her The Times of India”

💡 Reports indicate Trump is forming a committee to investigate Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, potentially leading to her removal, which could increase political pressure on the Fed and create market uncertainty.

  • LONG $PSQ ProShares Short QQQ conf 7/10 ▲ +1.8% expected Buy $24.51 → Peak $24.52 ▲ +0.04% · +$0.04 per $100 so far · open
  • LONG $SH ProShares Short S&P500 conf 7/10 ▲ +1.5% expected Buy $31.83 → Peak $31.83 ▲ +0.02% · +$0.02 per $100 so far · open
  • LONG $TBF ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury conf 7/10 ▲ +1.2% expected Buy $26.72 → Peak $26.72 ▼ −0.02% · $-0.02 per $100 so far · open
  • LONG $SEF ProShares Short Financials conf 6/10 ▲ +1.2% expected Buy $30.87 → Peak $30.84 ▼ −0.1% · $-0.10 per $100 so far · open
Federal Reserve

“New York Federal Reserve says inflation on everyday items is because of tariffs - KEYE New York Federal Reserve says inflation on everyday items is because of tariffs KEYE”

💡 The New York Fed's statement linking inflation to tariffs suggests a potential for continued high prices and a hawkish Fed stance, negatively impacting consumer spending and the broader market.

  • LONG $DOG ProShares Short Dow30 conf 7/10 ▲ +1% expected Buy $22.11 → Peak $22.14 ▲ +0.09% · +$0.09 per $100 so far · open
  • LONG $SH ProShares Short S&P500 conf 7/10 ▲ +1.2% expected Buy $31.89 → Peak $31.91 ▲ +0.06% · +$0.06 per $100 so far · open
  • SHORT $XRT State Street SPDR S&P Retail ETF conf 6/10 ▼ −1% expected Buy $83.68 → Peak $83.44 ▲ +0.29% · +$0.29 per $100 so far · open
Federal Reserve

“Four signs it is about to get uglier in the bond market - Reuters Four signs it is about to get uglier in the bond market Reuters”

💡 A Reuters report suggesting an 'uglier' bond market implies rising yields, which is bearish for bond prices and rate-sensitive equities.

  • LONG $SH ProShares Short S&P500 conf 6/10 ▲ +1% expected Buy $31.97 → Peak $31.93 ▼ −0.12% · $-0.12 per $100 so far · open
  • LONG $XLF State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF conf 6/10 ▲ +0.9% expected Buy $54.23 → Peak $54.82 ▲ +1.09% · +$1.09 per $100 ✓ hit expected move so far · open
  • LONG $TBT ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury conf 5/10 ▲ +1.2% expected Buy $42.19 → Peak $42.94 ▲ +1.77% · +$1.77 per $100 ✓ hit expected move so far · open
  • SHORT $XLK State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF conf 5/10 ▼ −0.9% expected Buy $197.78 → Peak $197.38 ▲ +0.2% · +$0.20 per $100 so far · open
Federal Reserve

“CITIC International: Expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates three times in 2027 - Moomoo CITIC International: Expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates three times in 2027 Moomoo”

💡 A report from CITIC International suggests the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates three times in 2027, which could negatively impact growth stocks and the broader market.

  • LONG $PSQ ProShares Short QQQ conf 7/10 ▲ +1.8% expected Buy $24.55 → Peak $24.58 ▲ +0.12% · +$0.12 per $100 so far · open
  • LONG $SH ProShares Short S&P500 conf 7/10 ▲ +1.2% expected Buy $31.97 → Peak $31.93 ▼ −0.12% · $-0.12 per $100 so far · open
  • SHORT $XLY State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF conf 6/10 ▼ −1.8% expected Buy $111.71 → Peak $112.13 ▼ −0.38% · $-0.38 per $100 so far · open
  • SHORT $XLK State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF conf 5/10 ▼ −1.5% expected Buy $198.30 → Peak $197.38 ▲ +0.46% · +$0.46 per $100 so far · open
Federal Reserve

“Federal Reserve Board announces enforcement action against American Express Company to address, among other things, the firm’s failure to sufficiently detect and report certain suspicious activity related to money laundering Federal Reserve”

💡 The Federal Reserve Board announced an enforcement action against American Express for failing to detect and report suspicious money laundering activity, which is bearish for AXP.

  • SHORT $AXP American Express Company conf 8/10 ▼ −2.5% expected Buy $305.57 → Peak $301.31 ▲ +1.39% · +$1.39 per $100 so far · open
  • NEUTRAL $SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust conf 4/10 no clear move tracking…
Federal Reserve

“'Fed wants US economy to do badly...': Trump targets Federal Reserve over Mortgage rates - The Economic Times 'Fed wants US economy to do badly...': Trump targets Federal Reserve over Mortgage rates The Economic Times”

💡 Trump's criticism of the Federal Reserve over high mortgage rates could increase political pressure on the Fed, potentially leading to speculation about future rate policy and impacting interest-rate sensitive sectors.

  • LONG $IYR iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF conf 7/10 ▲ +1.2% expected Buy $93.89 → Peak $96.32 ▲ +2.59% · +$2.59 per $100 ✓ hit expected move so far · open
  • LONG $XHB State Street SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF conf 7/10 ▲ +1.5% expected Buy $94.89 → Peak $96.02 ▲ +1.19% · +$1.19 per $100 so far · open
  • LONG $SEF ProShares Short Financials conf 5/10 ▲ +0.8% expected Buy $31.38 → Peak $31.51 ▲ +0.43% · +$0.43 per $100 so far · open
  • NEUTRAL $SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust conf 5/10 no clear move tracking…
Federal Reserve

“Trump says Federal Reserve Board would like to see the country do badly - Bilyonaryo Business Trump says Federal Reserve Board would like to see the country do badly Bilyonaryo Business”

💡 Former President Trump's criticism of the Federal Reserve could increase political pressure on the central bank, potentially leading to market uncertainty and a more dovish stance, which would be bearish for the dollar and bullish for gold, but bearish for banks.

  • LONG $GLD SPDR Gold Shares conf 7/10 ▲ +1.5% expected Buy $375.88 → Sell $401.83 ▲ +6.9% · +$6.90 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
  • LONG $SEF ProShares Short Financials conf 4/10 ▲ +1.2% expected Buy $31.38 → Sell $31.51 ▲ +0.43% · +$0.43 per $100
  • SHORT $UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund conf 5/10 ▼ −0.5% expected Buy $29.04 → Sell $28.97 ▲ +0.24% · +$0.24 per $100
  • NEUTRAL $SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust conf 4/10 no clear move tracking…
Federal Reserve

“Federal Reserve signals higher rates as experts weigh market impact - Fox Business Federal Reserve signals higher rates as experts weigh market impact Fox Business”

💡 The Federal Reserve's signal of higher interest rates is bearish for the broad market, particularly growth stocks and interest-rate sensitive sectors like real estate and financials.

  • LONG $PSQ ProShares Short QQQ conf 7/10 ▲ +2.5% expected Buy $24.28 → Sell $24.73 ▲ +1.83% · +$1.83 per $100
  • LONG $SH ProShares Short S&P500 conf 7/10 ▲ +2% expected Buy $31.84 → Sell $32.11 ▲ +0.84% · +$0.84 per $100
  • LONG $REK ProShares Short Real Estate conf 6/10 ▲ +2% expected Buy $16.86 → Sell $17.06 ▲ +1.19% · +$1.19 per $100
  • LONG $XLF State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF conf 6/10 ▲ +1% expected Buy $53.76 → Sell $54.82 ▲ +1.96% · +$1.96 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
Federal Reserve

“Fed Minutes Show Hawkish Unity Behind September Rate Hike - Bloomberg.com Fed Minutes Show Hawkish Unity Behind September Rate Hike Bloomberg.com”

💡 FOMC minutes reveal broad agreement for continued rate hikes, signaling further tightening and a bearish outlook for equities and bonds.

  • LONG $PSQ ProShares Short QQQ conf 7/10 ▲ +2% expected Buy $24.28 → Sell $24.73 ▲ +1.83% · +$1.83 per $100
  • LONG $SH ProShares Short S&P500 conf 7/10 ▲ +1.5% expected Buy $31.83 → Sell $32.11 ▲ +0.88% · +$0.88 per $100
  • LONG $XLF State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF conf 7/10 ▲ +1.2% expected Buy $53.76 → Sell $54.82 ▲ +1.98% · +$1.98 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
  • LONG $TBT ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury conf 6/10 ▲ +1.5% expected Buy $42.96 → Sell $43.59 ▲ +1.47% · +$1.47 per $100
  • SHORT $XHB State Street SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF conf 8/10 ▼ −2.8% expected Buy $94.73 → Sell $93.50 ▲ +1.3% · +$1.30 per $100
  • SHORT $SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF conf 6/10 ▼ −2% expected Buy $623.30 → Sell $600.32 ▲ +3.69% · +$3.69 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
Federal Reserve

“Fed officials see another hike coming, but no sign as to when, minutes show - CNBC Fed officials see another hike coming, but no sign as to when, minutes show CNBC”

💡 FOMC minutes indicate a potential future rate hike, which could negatively impact growth-sensitive sectors and the broader market.

  • LONG $PSQ ProShares Short QQQ conf 7/10 ▲ +1.2% expected Buy $24.27 → Sell $24.73 ▲ +1.85% · +$1.85 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
  • LONG $SH ProShares Short S&P500 conf 7/10 ▲ +0.8% expected Buy $31.82 → Sell $32.11 ▲ +0.9% · +$0.90 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
  • SHORT $XHB State Street SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF conf 7/10 ▼ −1.5% expected Buy $94.63 → Sell $93.50 ▲ +1.2% · +$1.20 per $100
  • SHORT $XLK State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF conf 6/10 ▼ −0.8% expected Buy $201.19 → Sell $196.48 ▲ +2.34% · +$2.34 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
Federal Reserve

“Fed minutes: Another rate hike likely coming this year to combat persistent inflation - Baltimore Sun Fed minutes: Another rate hike likely coming this year to combat persistent inflation Baltimore Sun”

💡 Fed minutes indicate another rate hike is likely this year, which is bearish for growth stocks and the broader market.

  • LONG $PSQ ProShares Short QQQ conf 7/10 ▲ +2% expected Buy $24.27 → Sell $24.73 ▲ +1.88% · +$1.88 per $100
  • LONG $SH ProShares Short S&P500 conf 7/10 ▲ +1.5% expected Buy $31.82 → Sell $32.11 ▲ +0.91% · +$0.91 per $100
  • SHORT $XLK State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF conf 6/10 ▼ −2% expected Buy $201.41 → Sell $196.48 ▲ +2.45% · +$2.45 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
  • SHORT $XLY State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF conf 6/10 ▼ −2% expected Buy $111.35 → Sell $110.60 ▲ +0.67% · +$0.67 per $100
Federal Reserve

“Federal Reserve officials expect another rate hike will be needed this year, according to minutes - KVUE Federal Reserve officials expect another rate hike will be needed this year, according to minutes KVUE”

💡 Federal Reserve minutes indicate another rate hike is expected this year, which is bearish for equities and bullish for the dollar and short-term bonds.

  • LONG $PSQ ProShares Short QQQ conf 7/10 ▲ +2% expected Buy $24.27 → Sell $24.73 ▲ +1.85% · +$1.85 per $100
  • LONG $SH ProShares Short S&P500 conf 7/10 ▲ +1.5% expected Buy $31.82 → Sell $32.11 ▲ +0.9% · +$0.90 per $100
  • LONG $XLF State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF conf 7/10 ▲ +1% expected Buy $53.74 → Sell $54.82 ▲ +2.02% · +$2.02 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
  • LONG $TBT ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury conf 6/10 ▲ +1.5% expected Buy $42.94 → Sell $43.59 ▲ +1.51% · +$1.51 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
Federal Reserve

“Hawkish Fed triggers emerging market outflows in September - Reuters Hawkish Fed triggers emerging market outflows in September Reuters”

💡 A hawkish Federal Reserve stance in September led to capital outflows from emerging markets, indicating a stronger dollar and higher U.S. rates, which is bearish for EM assets.

  • LONG $EUM ProShares Short MSCI Emerging Markets conf 7/10 ▲ +1.5% expected Buy $15.37 → Sell $15.96 ▲ +3.84% · +$3.84 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
  • SHORT $EMB iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF conf 6/10 ▼ −1.2% expected Buy $90.95 → Sell $90.23 ▲ +0.79% · +$0.79 per $100
  • SHORT $FXI iShares China Large-Cap ETF conf 6/10 ▼ −1% expected Buy $33.77 → Sell $33.24 ▲ +1.55% · +$1.55 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
  • NEUTRAL $SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust conf 4/10 no clear move tracking…
Federal Reserve

“U.S. Stock Market Preview | The Federal Reserve's meeting minutes are set to be released at 2:00 a.m.; all three major stock index futures are down, while U.S. Treasury yields rise; Iran plans to seal off the "illegal shipping lane" in the ”

💡 The upcoming release of Federal Reserve meeting minutes and rising U.S. Treasury yields suggest potential market volatility, while Iran's threat to the Strait of Hormuz could impact oil prices.

  • LONG $PSQ ProShares Short QQQ conf 7/10 ▲ +1% expected Buy $24.18 → Sell $24.73 ▲ +2.25% · +$2.25 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
  • LONG $SH ProShares Short S&P500 conf 7/10 ▲ +0.8% expected Buy $31.74 → Sell $32.11 ▲ +1.15% · +$1.15 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
  • LONG $TBF ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury conf 7/10 ▲ +0.8% expected Buy $26.92 → Sell $27.21 ▲ +1.08% · +$1.08 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
  • LONG $USO United States Oil Fund, LP conf 6/10 ▲ +2% expected Buy $144.91 → Sell $150.48 ▲ +3.84% · +$3.84 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
Federal Reserve

“SF Fed president: AI demand could extend energy shock - Axios SF Fed president: AI demand could extend energy shock Axios”

💡 Comments from the SF Fed president suggest AI demand could prolong high energy prices, benefiting energy producers but potentially hurting energy-intensive sectors and the broader economy.

  • LONG $SH ProShares Short S&P500 conf 6/10 ▲ +0.9% expected Buy $31.67 → Sell $32.11 ▲ +1.39% · +$1.39 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
  • LONG $XLE State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF conf 5/10 ▲ +1.2% expected Buy $63.92 → Sell $65.86 ▲ +3.03% · +$3.03 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
  • LONG $SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF conf 4/10 ▲ +0.7% expected Buy $637.16 → Sell $637.24 ▲ +0.01% · +$0.01 per $100
Federal Reserve

“High Interest Rates Aren’t Slowing the A.I. Boom. That’s a Problem for the Fed. - The New York Times High Interest Rates Aren’t Slowing the A.I. Boom. That’s a Problem for the Fed. The New York Times”

💡 The New York Times reports that high interest rates are not slowing the AI boom, which could lead the Fed to maintain or increase rates, impacting growth stocks and the broader market.

  • LONG $SH ProShares Short S&P500 conf 7/10 ▲ +0.8% expected Buy $31.92 → Sell $32.11 ▲ +0.58% · +$0.58 per $100
  • LONG $TBF ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury conf 7/10 ▲ +1.1% expected Buy $27.04 → Sell $27.21 ▲ +0.63% · +$0.63 per $100
  • LONG $GOOGL Alphabet Inc. conf 6/10 ▲ +1.6% expected Buy $346.51 → Sell $356.88 ▲ +2.99% · +$2.99 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
  • LONG $MSFT Microsoft Corporation conf 5/10 ▲ +1.3% expected Buy $524.70 → Sell $535.69 ▲ +2.09% · +$2.09 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
  • LONG $NVDA NVIDIA Corporation conf 5/10 ▲ +1.5% expected Buy $239.44 → Sell $251.44 ▲ +5.01% · +$5.01 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
  • LONG $SMCI Super Micro Computer, Inc. conf 5/10 ▲ +1.7% expected Buy $43.21 → Sell $45.76 ▲ +5.91% · +$5.91 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
Federal Reserve

“Standard Chartered expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by another 50 basis points before mid-next year, with a potential pivot to rate cuts in the second half of next year. - 富途牛牛 Standard Chartered expects the Federal Rese”

💡 Standard Chartered predicts the Fed will raise rates by 50 bps by mid-next year, then cut rates in H2 2027, suggesting short-term tightening followed by easing.

  • LONG $PSQ ProShares Short QQQ conf 6/10 ▲ +1.5% expected Buy $24.52 → Sell $24.59 ▲ +0.29% · +$0.29 per $100
  • LONG $SH ProShares Short S&P500 conf 6/10 ▲ +1% expected Buy $32.12 → Sell $32.20 ▲ +0.25% · +$0.25 per $100
  • LONG $TBT ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury conf 6/10 ▲ +1.5% expected Buy $42.54 → Sell $43.77 ▲ +2.89% · +$2.89 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
  • LONG $XLF State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF conf 6/10 ▲ +1% expected Buy $53.49 → Sell $54.30 ▲ +1.51% · +$1.51 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
Federal Reserve

“Federal Reserve expected to raise interest rates again - Washington Examiner Federal Reserve expected to raise interest rates again Washington Examiner”

💡 The Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates again, which is bearish for the broad market and growth stocks, while potentially bullish for banks.

  • LONG $PSQ ProShares Short QQQ conf 8/10 ▲ +1.8% expected Buy $24.52 → Sell $24.59 ▲ +0.29% · +$0.29 per $100
  • LONG $SH ProShares Short S&P500 conf 8/10 ▲ +1.2% expected Buy $32.12 → Sell $32.20 ▲ +0.25% · +$0.25 per $100
  • LONG $KBE State Street SPDR S&P Bank ETF conf 7/10 ▲ +1% expected Buy $64.36 → Sell $64.51 ▲ +0.24% · +$0.24 per $100