Pete Hegseth is the current United States Secretary of War, a cabinet-level position responsible for overseeing the Department of War. He was sworn in on January 25, 2025, as the Secretary of Defense, and the department's name was officiall
Pete Hegseth alerts on Trade The Post are generated from this person's public posts and disclosures. They are not Trade The Path trend-channel signals. Each card below is a dated call with ticker, LONG or SHORT, and expected move.
2249settled signals
71.6%hit expected move
+4.32%avg peak move
+34.73%best call
Hit rate counts alerts whose price reached the expected move published in the alert inside our tracking window. How we measure this.
One tap opens Telegram with Pete Hegseth pre-selected — just pick your speed.
For information only. Not financial advice. We are not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer. Trading involves risk of loss.
Feeds we monitor
News/media
Know another account? Suggest a source
We check with AI that it really belongs to Pete Hegseth before adding it.
Signals from Pete Hegseth
Pete Hegseth
“'DEPRAVITY': Pete Hegseth ADMITS HE LIED about Iran war death toll as Pentagon quietly raises number - Yahoo
'DEPRAVITY': Pete Hegseth ADMITS HE LIED about Iran war death toll as Pentagon quietly raises number Yahoo”
💡 Secretary Hegseth's admission of lying about Iran war casualties and the Pentagon's quiet increase in the death toll could erode public trust, potentially leading to increased political instability and a more cautious stance on military engagements, negatively impacting defense contractors and the broader market.
LONG$SHProShares Short S&P500conf 5/10▲ +0.5% expectedBuy $31.84 → Peak $31.91▲ +0.22% · +$0.22 per $100so far · open
SHORT$GDGeneral Dynamics Corporationconf 7/10▼ −1.5% expectedBuy $335.46 → Peak $328.98▲ +1.93% · +$1.93 per $100✓ hit expected moveso far · open
SHORT$LMTLockheed Martin Corporationconf 7/10▼ −1.8% expectedBuy $511.88 → Peak $502.17▲ +1.9% · +$1.90 per $100✓ hit expected moveso far · open
SHORT$RTXRTX Corporationconf 7/10▼ −1.6% expectedBuy $186.66 → Peak $181.15▲ +2.95% · +$2.95 per $100✓ hit expected moveso far · open
Pete Hegseth
“Trump’s Russia deal draws GOP heat as midterm picture for Republicans gets bleak: Live discussion - The Hill
Trump’s Russia deal draws GOP heat as midterm picture for Republicans gets bleak: Live discussion The Hill”
💡 Reports of a 'Russia deal' by Trump drawing GOP criticism and a bleak midterm outlook for Republicans could increase political uncertainty, potentially weighing on broad market sentiment and defense stocks.
LONG$SHProShares Short S&P500conf 6/10▲ +0.8% expectedBuy $31.83 → Peak $31.91▲ +0.27% · +$0.27 per $100so far · open
SHORT$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETFconf 5/10▼ −1% expectedBuy $207.00 → Peak $202.43▲ +2.21% · +$2.21 per $100✓ hit expected moveso far · open
SHORT$LMTLockheed Martin Corporationconf 5/10▼ −1.3% expectedBuy $515.19 → Peak $502.17▲ +2.53% · +$2.53 per $100✓ hit expected moveso far · open
SHORT$RTXRTX Corporationconf 5/10▼ −1.2% expectedBuy $186.63 → Peak $181.15▲ +2.94% · +$2.94 per $100✓ hit expected moveso far · open
Pete Hegseth
“'Pete Hegseth is next up': Hakeem Jeffries vows to dismiss War Secretary after coming to majority - The Economic Times
'Pete Hegseth is next up': Hakeem Jeffries vows to dismiss War Secretary after coming to majority The Economic Times”
💡 House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries' vow to dismiss Secretary of War Pete Hegseth if Democrats gain a majority creates political uncertainty, potentially impacting defense stocks and the broader market.
LONG$SHProShares Short S&P500conf 6/10▲ +0.8% expectedBuy $31.80 → Peak $31.91▲ +0.35% · +$0.35 per $100so far · open
SHORT$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETFconf 7/10▼ −1.8% expectedBuy $206.65 → Peak $202.43▲ +2.04% · +$2.04 per $100✓ hit expected moveso far · open
Pete Hegseth
“Pentagon raises official toll of troops who died during war with Iran to 21 - The Washington Post
Pentagon raises official toll of troops who died during war with Iran to 21 The Washington Post”
💡 The Pentagon's increased casualty count in the war with Iran suggests ongoing conflict and potential for escalation, which is bearish for broad market sentiment and could boost defense stocks while pressuring oil.
LONG$LMTLockheed Martin Corporationconf 8/10▲ +1.8% expectedBuy $509.59 → Sell $515.77▲ +1.21% · +$1.21 per $100
LONG$SHProShares Short S&P500conf 6/10▲ +0.7% expectedBuy $31.80 → Sell $31.91▲ +0.35% · +$0.35 per $100
SHORT$USOUnited States Oil Fund, LPconf 5/10▼ −0.8% expectedBuy $148.20 → Sell $146.33▲ +1.26% · +$1.26 per $100✓ hit expected move
Pete Hegseth
“Live Updates: Latest from Israel, Iran, and the Middle East - The Jerusalem Post
Live Updates: Latest from Israel, Iran, and the Middle East The Jerusalem Post”
💡 Ongoing tensions in the Middle East, particularly involving Israel and Iran, typically increase oil prices due to supply concerns and boost defense stocks, while potentially weighing on broader market sentiment.
LONG$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETFconf 7/10▲ +1.2% expectedBuy $206.65 → Sell $207.97▲ +0.64% · +$0.64 per $100
LONG$LMTLockheed Martin Corporationconf 7/10▲ +1.4% expectedBuy $509.59 → Sell $515.77▲ +1.21% · +$1.21 per $100
LONG$USOUnited States Oil Fund, LPconf 7/10▲ +1.5% expectedBuy $148.20 → Sell $152.65▲ +3% · +$3.00 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$SHProShares Short S&P500conf 6/10▲ +0.8% expectedBuy $31.80 → Sell $31.86▲ +0.19% · +$0.19 per $100
Pete Hegseth
“Column by Philip Kennicott: Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s promise to live-stream the execution by firing squad of convicted Fort Hood shooter Nidal Malik Hasan will implicate the U.S. military in a spectacle degrading to its reputation w”
💡 Defense Secretary Hegseth's reported plan to live-stream an execution could damage the U.S. military's global reputation, potentially impacting defense contractors and broad market sentiment.
LONG$SHProShares Short S&P500conf 6/10▲ +0.6% expectedBuy $31.80 → Sell $31.86▲ +0.19% · +$0.19 per $100
SHORT$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETFconf 5/10▼ −1.2% expectedBuy $206.65 → Sell $205.82▲ +0.4% · +$0.40 per $100
Pete Hegseth
“Brendan Carr says he’ll let Pete Hegseth decide whether TV networks can air the public execution - The Verge
Brendan Carr says he’ll let Pete Hegseth decide whether TV networks can air the public execution The Verge”
💡 The discussion around airing public executions, while not directly about a specific company, could increase social unrest and regulatory scrutiny on media, leading to a cautious stance on broad media and entertainment sectors.
SHORT$XLCState Street Communication Services Select Sector SPDR ETFconf 7/10▼ −1.8% expectedBuy $110.39 → Sell $110.33▲ +0.05% · +$0.05 per $100
SHORT$DISThe Walt Disney Companyconf 5/10▼ −1.5% expectedBuy $107.89 → Sell $107.56▲ +0.31% · +$0.31 per $100
Pete Hegseth
“Hegseth: Military will publicly execute Fort Hood shooter - Politico
Hegseth: Military will publicly execute Fort Hood shooter Politico”
💡 Secretary Hegseth's reported statement about public execution could spark significant social unrest and legal challenges, negatively impacting broad market sentiment and potentially leading to a flight to safety.
LONG$SHProShares Short S&P500conf 7/10▲ +1.8% expectedBuy $31.97 → Sell $31.93▼ −0.12% · $-0.12 per $100
LONG$TLTiShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETFconf 7/10▲ +1% expectedBuy $77.81 → Sell $78.05▲ +0.31% · +$0.31 per $100
SHORT$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETFconf 6/10▼ −2.2% expectedBuy $205.00 → Sell $203.90▲ +0.54% · +$0.54 per $100
Pete Hegseth
“Hegseth says Hasan execution will be public - ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos
Hegseth says Hasan execution will be public ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos”
💡 Secretary Hegseth's statement on a public execution could heighten geopolitical tensions and risk aversion, negatively impacting broad market sentiment and defense stocks.
LONG$SHProShares Short S&P500conf 7/10▲ +0.9% expectedBuy $31.97 → Sell $31.93▼ −0.12% · $-0.12 per $100
SHORT$GDGeneral Dynamics Corporationconf 5/10▼ −1.2% expectedBuy $329.90 → Sell $325.74▲ +1.26% · +$1.26 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETFconf 5/10▼ −1% expectedBuy $205.00 → Sell $203.90▲ +0.54% · +$0.54 per $100
Pete Hegseth
“Donald Trump rules out Iran attack before US midterms as Treasury hits oil fleet - The Jerusalem Post
Donald Trump rules out Iran attack before US midterms as Treasury hits oil fleet The Jerusalem Post”
💡 Donald Trump's statement ruling out an attack on Iran before midterms reduces immediate geopolitical risk, while the Treasury's sanctions on Iran's oil fleet could tighten oil supply.
LONG$USOUnited States Oil Fund, LPconf 6/10▲ +1.2% expectedBuy $147.50 → Sell $149.03▲ +1.04% · +$1.04 per $100
LONG$SPYState Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trustconf 5/10▲ +0.3% expectedBuy $774.32 → Sell $779.42▲ +0.66% · +$0.66 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$XLEState Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETFconf 5/10▲ +0.8% expectedBuy $65.24 → Sell $65.86▲ +0.94% · +$0.94 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETFconf 7/10▼ −1% expectedBuy $204.88 → Sell $203.90▲ +0.48% · +$0.48 per $100
Pete Hegseth
“Defense: Hegseth’s drone command may already have Hill support - Punchbowl News
Defense: Hegseth’s drone command may already have Hill support Punchbowl News”
💡 Reports indicate Secretary Hegseth's drone command initiative has early Congressional support, which could benefit defense contractors specializing in drone technology and related systems.
LONG$LMTLockheed Martin Corporationconf 7/10▲ +1.5% expectedBuy $504.18 → Sell $511.43▲ +1.44% · +$1.44 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$RTXRTX Corporationconf 7/10▲ +1.8% expectedBuy $183.28 → Sell $186.46▲ +1.74% · +$1.74 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETFconf 6/10▲ +1% expectedBuy $203.80 → Sell $208.74▲ +2.42% · +$2.42 per $100✓ hit expected move
Pete Hegseth
“Pete Hegseth’s Military of the Future: Defined by AI and an Utter Lack of Oversight - The Intercept
Pete Hegseth’s Military of the Future: Defined by AI and an Utter Lack of Oversight The Intercept”
💡 Report suggests Secretary Hegseth's 'Military of the Future' will heavily rely on AI with minimal oversight, potentially boosting defense tech but raising ethical concerns.
LONG$LMTLockheed Martin Corporationconf 8/10▲ +2% expectedBuy $501.70 → Sell $511.43▲ +1.94% · +$1.94 per $100
LONG$RTXRTX Corporationconf 8/10▲ +1.9% expectedBuy $181.54 → Sell $186.46▲ +2.71% · +$2.71 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$GOOGLAlphabet Inc.conf 6/10▲ +0.7% expectedBuy $349.40 → Sell $354.70▲ +1.52% · +$1.52 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$PLTRPalantir Technologies Inc.conf 6/10▲ +2% expectedBuy $199.46 → Sell $209.31▲ +4.94% · +$4.94 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$MSFTMicrosoft Corporationconf 5/10▲ +0.6% expectedBuy $530.96 → Sell $537.22▲ +1.18% · +$1.18 per $100✓ hit expected move
Pete Hegseth
“Pentagon increases war against drug cartels in South America - www.fox23.com
Pentagon increases war against drug cartels in South America www.fox23.com”
💡 The Pentagon's increased focus on drug cartels in South America could boost defense contractors and potentially impact pharmaceutical and logistics companies.
LONG$LMTLockheed Martin Corporationconf 7/10▲ +1.7% expectedBuy $502.27 → Sell $511.43▲ +1.82% · +$1.82 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$RTXRTX Corporationconf 7/10▲ +1.4% expectedBuy $180.31 → Sell $186.46▲ +3.41% · +$3.41 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$BAThe Boeing Companyconf 6/10▲ +1.2% expectedBuy $187.21 → Sell $191.02▲ +2.04% · +$2.04 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$CATCaterpillar Inc.conf 5/10▲ +0.9% expectedBuy $810.09 → Sell $821.91▲ +1.46% · +$1.46 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$FDXFedEx Corporationconf 4/10▲ +0.6% expectedBuy $288.00 → Sell $292.99▲ +1.73% · +$1.73 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$UPSUnited Parcel Service, Inc.conf 4/10▲ +0.6% expectedBuy $92.92 → Sell $95.08▲ +2.33% · +$2.33 per $100✓ hit expected move
Pete Hegseth
“Hegseth, a potential 2028 candidate, installs Musk as key Pentagon advisor - Oligarch Watch
Hegseth, a potential 2028 candidate, installs Musk as key Pentagon advisor Oligarch Watch”
💡 Secretary Hegseth's appointment of Elon Musk as a Pentagon advisor is likely to benefit defense contractors and companies involved in advanced technology, particularly those with existing ties to Musk's ventures.
LONG$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETFconf 7/10▲ +0.8% expectedBuy $204.12 → Sell $208.74▲ +2.26% · +$2.26 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$LMTLockheed Martin Corporationconf 7/10▲ +1% expectedBuy $504.17 → Sell $511.43▲ +1.44% · +$1.44 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$RTXRTX Corporationconf 7/10▲ +0.9% expectedBuy $181.16 → Sell $186.46▲ +2.93% · +$2.93 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$TSLATesla, Inc.conf 6/10▲ +1.2% expectedBuy $375.93 → Sell $388.56▲ +3.36% · +$3.36 per $100✓ hit expected move
Pete Hegseth
“Hegseth taps Musk, Gingrich and Luckey to predict the future of war: Be very afraid - San Francisco Chronicle
Hegseth taps Musk, Gingrich and Luckey to predict the future of war: Be very afraid San Francisco Chronicle”
💡 Secretary Hegseth consulting with tech and defense figures on the future of war suggests increased focus and potential investment in advanced military technologies, benefiting defense contractors and AI developers.
LONG$LMTLockheed Martin Corporationconf 8/10▲ +2% expectedBuy $510.12 → Sell $511.69▲ +0.31% · +$0.31 per $100
LONG$PLTRPalantir Technologies Inc.conf 6/10▲ +1.5% expectedBuy $191.25 → Sell $209.31▲ +9.44% · +$9.44 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$SMCISuper Micro Computer, Inc.conf 5/10▲ +1.2% expectedBuy $42.60 → Sell $45.76▲ +7.43% · +$7.43 per $100✓ hit expected move
Pete Hegseth
“Pentagon, under Hegseth, expands war against drug cartels in South America - The Hill
Pentagon, under Hegseth, expands war against drug cartels in South America The Hill”
💡 The Pentagon's expanded operations against drug cartels in South America under Secretary Hegseth could boost defense contractors and potentially impact commodity prices.
LONG$LMTLockheed Martin Corporationconf 8/10▲ +1.8% expectedBuy $510.48 → Sell $512.26▲ +0.35% · +$0.35 per $100
LONG$COINCoinbase Global, Inc.conf 4/10▲ +0.7% expectedBuy $181.09 → Sell $183.61▲ +1.39% · +$1.39 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$USOUnited States Oil Fund, LPconf 4/10▲ +0.6% expectedBuy $145.59 → Sell $150.48▲ +3.36% · +$3.36 per $100✓ hit expected move
Pete Hegseth
“Video | Trump Unveils America’s 'Arsenal Of Freedom' | Biggest Shipyard Since WWII | Pete Hegseth - NDTV
Video | Trump Unveils America’s 'Arsenal Of Freedom' | Biggest Shipyard Since WWII | Pete Hegseth NDTV”
💡 The unveiling of a major new U.S. shipyard by Trump and Hegseth signals increased defense spending and a boost for shipbuilding and related industries.
“Families of some US troops killed in the Iran war's deadliest strike absent from White House event - Times Union
Families of some US troops killed in the Iran war's deadliest strike absent from White House event Times Union”
💡 Reports of families absent from a White House event after a deadly strike in the Iran war suggest ongoing conflict and potential escalation, negatively impacting defense and oil sectors.
LONG$SHProShares Short S&P500conf 6/10▲ +0.9% expectedBuy $31.74 → Sell $32.11▲ +1.15% · +$1.15 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$USOUnited States Oil Fund, LPconf 5/10▲ +1.5% expectedBuy $144.91 → Sell $150.48▲ +3.84% · +$3.84 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETFconf 5/10▼ −1.2% expectedBuy $208.26 → Sell $201.00▲ +3.49% · +$3.49 per $100✓ hit expected move
Pete Hegseth
“Senator Says Hegseth Barred Him From Gulf Base to 'Cover Up the True Cost' of Iran War - Common Dreams
Senator Says Hegseth Barred Him From Gulf Base to 'Cover Up the True Cost' of Iran War Common Dreams”
💡 Allegations that Secretary Hegseth is covering up the true cost of the Iran War could increase political uncertainty and potentially impact defense spending and oil prices.
LONG$SHProShares Short S&P500conf 5/10▲ +0.8% expectedBuy $31.74 → Sell $32.11▲ +1.15% · +$1.15 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$USOUnited States Oil Fund, LPconf 4/10▲ +0.8% expectedBuy $144.91 → Sell $150.48▲ +3.84% · +$3.84 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$XARState Street SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETFconf 7/10▼ −1.2% expectedBuy $233.62 → Sell $223.67▲ +4.26% · +$4.26 per $100✓ hit expected move
Pete Hegseth
“Trump to Announce Investment in Maryland Submarine Facility - The New York Times
Trump to Announce Investment in Maryland Submarine Facility The New York Times”
💡 President Trump is expected to announce an investment in a Maryland submarine facility, which should benefit defense contractors involved in submarine construction and maintenance.
LONG$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETFconf 7/10▲ +1% expectedBuy $208.26 → Sell $208.88▲ +0.3% · +$0.30 per $100
LONG$LMTLockheed Martin Corporationconf 7/10▲ +1.2% expectedBuy $510.90 → Sell $512.26▲ +0.27% · +$0.27 per $100
Frequently asked questions
What do Trade The Post alerts for Pete Hegseth include?
Each market-moving post from Pete Hegseth can trigger an alert with the exact ticker, LONG or SHORT, expected move size, and a 0–10 confidence score — in plain English, sent to your Telegram. Every alert is logged on our public track record.
How is Pete Hegseth's hit rate measured?
On this tracker, 71.6% of 2249 settled alerts reached the expected move published in the alert. A hit means price reached the expected move published in the alert, in the called direction, inside the 72-hour window. Full definitions are on our methodology page.
How do I follow Pete Hegseth?
Tap “Follow on Telegram” on this page to open our bot with Pete Hegseth pre-selected. Your free trial starts instantly; paid speeds and billing are managed in the same Telegram chat.