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Pete Hegseth Stock Trade Alerts & Tracker

US Secretary of War

Pete Hegseth is the current United States Secretary of War, a cabinet-level position responsible for overseeing the Department of War. He was sworn in on January 25, 2025, as the Secretary of Defense, and the department's name was officiall

Pete Hegseth alerts on Trade The Post are generated from this person's public posts and disclosures. They are not Trade The Path trend-channel signals. Each card below is a dated call with ticker, LONG or SHORT, and expected move.

2249settled signals
71.6%hit expected move
+4.32%avg peak move
+34.73%best call

Hit rate counts alerts whose price reached the expected move published in the alert inside our tracking window. How we measure this.

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Signals from Pete Hegseth

Pete Hegseth

“'DEPRAVITY': Pete Hegseth ADMITS HE LIED about Iran war death toll as Pentagon quietly raises number - Yahoo 'DEPRAVITY': Pete Hegseth ADMITS HE LIED about Iran war death toll as Pentagon quietly raises number Yahoo”

💡 Secretary Hegseth's admission of lying about Iran war casualties and the Pentagon's quiet increase in the death toll could erode public trust, potentially leading to increased political instability and a more cautious stance on military engagements, negatively impacting defense contractors and the broader market.

  • LONG $SH ProShares Short S&P500 conf 5/10 ▲ +0.5% expected Buy $31.84 → Peak $31.91 ▲ +0.22% · +$0.22 per $100 so far · open
  • SHORT $GD General Dynamics Corporation conf 7/10 ▼ −1.5% expected Buy $335.46 → Peak $328.98 ▲ +1.93% · +$1.93 per $100 ✓ hit expected move so far · open
  • SHORT $LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation conf 7/10 ▼ −1.8% expected Buy $511.88 → Peak $502.17 ▲ +1.9% · +$1.90 per $100 ✓ hit expected move so far · open
  • SHORT $RTX RTX Corporation conf 7/10 ▼ −1.6% expected Buy $186.66 → Peak $181.15 ▲ +2.95% · +$2.95 per $100 ✓ hit expected move so far · open
Pete Hegseth

“Trump’s Russia deal draws GOP heat as midterm picture for Republicans gets bleak: Live discussion - The Hill Trump’s Russia deal draws GOP heat as midterm picture for Republicans gets bleak: Live discussion The Hill”

💡 Reports of a 'Russia deal' by Trump drawing GOP criticism and a bleak midterm outlook for Republicans could increase political uncertainty, potentially weighing on broad market sentiment and defense stocks.

  • LONG $SH ProShares Short S&P500 conf 6/10 ▲ +0.8% expected Buy $31.83 → Peak $31.91 ▲ +0.27% · +$0.27 per $100 so far · open
  • SHORT $ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF conf 5/10 ▼ −1% expected Buy $207.00 → Peak $202.43 ▲ +2.21% · +$2.21 per $100 ✓ hit expected move so far · open
  • SHORT $LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation conf 5/10 ▼ −1.3% expected Buy $515.19 → Peak $502.17 ▲ +2.53% · +$2.53 per $100 ✓ hit expected move so far · open
  • SHORT $RTX RTX Corporation conf 5/10 ▼ −1.2% expected Buy $186.63 → Peak $181.15 ▲ +2.94% · +$2.94 per $100 ✓ hit expected move so far · open
Pete Hegseth

“'Pete Hegseth is next up': Hakeem Jeffries vows to dismiss War Secretary after coming to majority - The Economic Times 'Pete Hegseth is next up': Hakeem Jeffries vows to dismiss War Secretary after coming to majority The Economic Times”

💡 House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries' vow to dismiss Secretary of War Pete Hegseth if Democrats gain a majority creates political uncertainty, potentially impacting defense stocks and the broader market.

  • LONG $SH ProShares Short S&P500 conf 6/10 ▲ +0.8% expected Buy $31.80 → Peak $31.91 ▲ +0.35% · +$0.35 per $100 so far · open
  • SHORT $ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF conf 7/10 ▼ −1.8% expected Buy $206.65 → Peak $202.43 ▲ +2.04% · +$2.04 per $100 ✓ hit expected move so far · open
Pete Hegseth

“Pentagon raises official toll of troops who died during war with Iran to 21 - The Washington Post Pentagon raises official toll of troops who died during war with Iran to 21 The Washington Post”

💡 The Pentagon's increased casualty count in the war with Iran suggests ongoing conflict and potential for escalation, which is bearish for broad market sentiment and could boost defense stocks while pressuring oil.

  • LONG $LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation conf 8/10 ▲ +1.8% expected Buy $509.59 → Sell $515.77 ▲ +1.21% · +$1.21 per $100
  • LONG $RTX RTX Corporation conf 8/10 ▲ +1.6% expected Buy $185.97 → Sell $187.96 ▲ +1.07% · +$1.07 per $100
  • LONG $SH ProShares Short S&P500 conf 6/10 ▲ +0.7% expected Buy $31.80 → Sell $31.91 ▲ +0.35% · +$0.35 per $100
  • SHORT $USO United States Oil Fund, LP conf 5/10 ▼ −0.8% expected Buy $148.20 → Sell $146.33 ▲ +1.26% · +$1.26 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
Pete Hegseth

“Live Updates: Latest from Israel, Iran, and the Middle East - The Jerusalem Post Live Updates: Latest from Israel, Iran, and the Middle East The Jerusalem Post”

💡 Ongoing tensions in the Middle East, particularly involving Israel and Iran, typically increase oil prices due to supply concerns and boost defense stocks, while potentially weighing on broader market sentiment.

  • LONG $ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF conf 7/10 ▲ +1.2% expected Buy $206.65 → Sell $207.97 ▲ +0.64% · +$0.64 per $100
  • LONG $LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation conf 7/10 ▲ +1.4% expected Buy $509.59 → Sell $515.77 ▲ +1.21% · +$1.21 per $100
  • LONG $RTX RTX Corporation conf 7/10 ▲ +1.3% expected Buy $185.97 → Sell $187.82 ▲ +0.99% · +$0.99 per $100
  • LONG $USO United States Oil Fund, LP conf 7/10 ▲ +1.5% expected Buy $148.20 → Sell $152.65 ▲ +3% · +$3.00 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
  • LONG $SH ProShares Short S&P500 conf 6/10 ▲ +0.8% expected Buy $31.80 → Sell $31.86 ▲ +0.19% · +$0.19 per $100
Pete Hegseth

“Column by Philip Kennicott: Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s promise to live-stream the execution by firing squad of convicted Fort Hood shooter Nidal Malik Hasan will implicate the U.S. military in a spectacle degrading to its reputation w”

💡 Defense Secretary Hegseth's reported plan to live-stream an execution could damage the U.S. military's global reputation, potentially impacting defense contractors and broad market sentiment.

  • LONG $SH ProShares Short S&P500 conf 6/10 ▲ +0.6% expected Buy $31.80 → Sell $31.86 ▲ +0.19% · +$0.19 per $100
  • SHORT $ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF conf 5/10 ▼ −1.2% expected Buy $206.65 → Sell $205.82 ▲ +0.4% · +$0.40 per $100
Pete Hegseth

“Brendan Carr says he’ll let Pete Hegseth decide whether TV networks can air the public execution - The Verge Brendan Carr says he’ll let Pete Hegseth decide whether TV networks can air the public execution The Verge”

💡 The discussion around airing public executions, while not directly about a specific company, could increase social unrest and regulatory scrutiny on media, leading to a cautious stance on broad media and entertainment sectors.

  • SHORT $CMCSA Comcast Corporation conf 7/10 ▼ −2.2% expected Buy $20.58 → Sell $20.50 ▲ +0.39% · +$0.39 per $100
  • SHORT $XLC State Street Communication Services Select Sector SPDR ETF conf 7/10 ▼ −1.8% expected Buy $110.39 → Sell $110.33 ▲ +0.05% · +$0.05 per $100
  • SHORT $DIS The Walt Disney Company conf 5/10 ▼ −1.5% expected Buy $107.89 → Sell $107.56 ▲ +0.31% · +$0.31 per $100
Pete Hegseth

“Hegseth: Military will publicly execute Fort Hood shooter - Politico Hegseth: Military will publicly execute Fort Hood shooter Politico”

💡 Secretary Hegseth's reported statement about public execution could spark significant social unrest and legal challenges, negatively impacting broad market sentiment and potentially leading to a flight to safety.

  • LONG $SH ProShares Short S&P500 conf 7/10 ▲ +1.8% expected Buy $31.97 → Sell $31.93 ▼ −0.12% · $-0.12 per $100
  • LONG $TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF conf 7/10 ▲ +1% expected Buy $77.81 → Sell $78.05 ▲ +0.31% · +$0.31 per $100
  • SHORT $ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF conf 6/10 ▼ −2.2% expected Buy $205.00 → Sell $203.90 ▲ +0.54% · +$0.54 per $100
Pete Hegseth

“Hegseth says Hasan execution will be public - ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos Hegseth says Hasan execution will be public ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos”

💡 Secretary Hegseth's statement on a public execution could heighten geopolitical tensions and risk aversion, negatively impacting broad market sentiment and defense stocks.

  • LONG $SH ProShares Short S&P500 conf 7/10 ▲ +0.9% expected Buy $31.97 → Sell $31.93 ▼ −0.12% · $-0.12 per $100
  • SHORT $GD General Dynamics Corporation conf 5/10 ▼ −1.2% expected Buy $329.90 → Sell $325.74 ▲ +1.26% · +$1.26 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
  • SHORT $ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF conf 5/10 ▼ −1% expected Buy $205.00 → Sell $203.90 ▲ +0.54% · +$0.54 per $100
Pete Hegseth

“Donald Trump rules out Iran attack before US midterms as Treasury hits oil fleet - The Jerusalem Post Donald Trump rules out Iran attack before US midterms as Treasury hits oil fleet The Jerusalem Post”

💡 Donald Trump's statement ruling out an attack on Iran before midterms reduces immediate geopolitical risk, while the Treasury's sanctions on Iran's oil fleet could tighten oil supply.

  • LONG $USO United States Oil Fund, LP conf 6/10 ▲ +1.2% expected Buy $147.50 → Sell $149.03 ▲ +1.04% · +$1.04 per $100
  • LONG $SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust conf 5/10 ▲ +0.3% expected Buy $774.32 → Sell $779.42 ▲ +0.66% · +$0.66 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
  • LONG $XLE State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF conf 5/10 ▲ +0.8% expected Buy $65.24 → Sell $65.86 ▲ +0.94% · +$0.94 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
  • SHORT $ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF conf 7/10 ▼ −1% expected Buy $204.88 → Sell $203.90 ▲ +0.48% · +$0.48 per $100
Pete Hegseth

“Defense: Hegseth’s drone command may already have Hill support - Punchbowl News Defense: Hegseth’s drone command may already have Hill support Punchbowl News”

💡 Reports indicate Secretary Hegseth's drone command initiative has early Congressional support, which could benefit defense contractors specializing in drone technology and related systems.

  • LONG $LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation conf 7/10 ▲ +1.5% expected Buy $504.18 → Sell $511.43 ▲ +1.44% · +$1.44 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
  • LONG $NOC Northrop Grumman Corporation conf 7/10 ▲ +1.6% expected Buy $480.15 → Sell $486.93 ▲ +1.41% · +$1.41 per $100
  • LONG $RTX RTX Corporation conf 7/10 ▲ +1.8% expected Buy $183.28 → Sell $186.46 ▲ +1.74% · +$1.74 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
  • LONG $ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF conf 6/10 ▲ +1% expected Buy $203.80 → Sell $208.74 ▲ +2.42% · +$2.42 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
Pete Hegseth

“Pete Hegseth’s Military of the Future: Defined by AI and an Utter Lack of Oversight - The Intercept Pete Hegseth’s Military of the Future: Defined by AI and an Utter Lack of Oversight The Intercept”

💡 Report suggests Secretary Hegseth's 'Military of the Future' will heavily rely on AI with minimal oversight, potentially boosting defense tech but raising ethical concerns.

  • LONG $LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation conf 8/10 ▲ +2% expected Buy $501.70 → Sell $511.43 ▲ +1.94% · +$1.94 per $100
  • LONG $RTX RTX Corporation conf 8/10 ▲ +1.9% expected Buy $181.54 → Sell $186.46 ▲ +2.71% · +$2.71 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
  • LONG $GOOGL Alphabet Inc. conf 6/10 ▲ +0.7% expected Buy $349.40 → Sell $354.70 ▲ +1.52% · +$1.52 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
  • LONG $PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. conf 6/10 ▲ +2% expected Buy $199.46 → Sell $209.31 ▲ +4.94% · +$4.94 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
  • LONG $MSFT Microsoft Corporation conf 5/10 ▲ +0.6% expected Buy $530.96 → Sell $537.22 ▲ +1.18% · +$1.18 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
Pete Hegseth

“Pentagon increases war against drug cartels in South America - www.fox23.com Pentagon increases war against drug cartels in South America www.fox23.com”

💡 The Pentagon's increased focus on drug cartels in South America could boost defense contractors and potentially impact pharmaceutical and logistics companies.

  • LONG $LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation conf 7/10 ▲ +1.7% expected Buy $502.27 → Sell $511.43 ▲ +1.82% · +$1.82 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
  • LONG $RTX RTX Corporation conf 7/10 ▲ +1.4% expected Buy $180.31 → Sell $186.46 ▲ +3.41% · +$3.41 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
  • LONG $BA The Boeing Company conf 6/10 ▲ +1.2% expected Buy $187.21 → Sell $191.02 ▲ +2.04% · +$2.04 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
  • LONG $CAT Caterpillar Inc. conf 5/10 ▲ +0.9% expected Buy $810.09 → Sell $821.91 ▲ +1.46% · +$1.46 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
  • LONG $FDX FedEx Corporation conf 4/10 ▲ +0.6% expected Buy $288.00 → Sell $292.99 ▲ +1.73% · +$1.73 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
  • LONG $UPS United Parcel Service, Inc. conf 4/10 ▲ +0.6% expected Buy $92.92 → Sell $95.08 ▲ +2.33% · +$2.33 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
Pete Hegseth

“Hegseth, a potential 2028 candidate, installs Musk as key Pentagon advisor - Oligarch Watch Hegseth, a potential 2028 candidate, installs Musk as key Pentagon advisor Oligarch Watch”

💡 Secretary Hegseth's appointment of Elon Musk as a Pentagon advisor is likely to benefit defense contractors and companies involved in advanced technology, particularly those with existing ties to Musk's ventures.

  • LONG $ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF conf 7/10 ▲ +0.8% expected Buy $204.12 → Sell $208.74 ▲ +2.26% · +$2.26 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
  • LONG $LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation conf 7/10 ▲ +1% expected Buy $504.17 → Sell $511.43 ▲ +1.44% · +$1.44 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
  • LONG $RTX RTX Corporation conf 7/10 ▲ +0.9% expected Buy $181.16 → Sell $186.46 ▲ +2.93% · +$2.93 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
  • LONG $TSLA Tesla, Inc. conf 6/10 ▲ +1.2% expected Buy $375.93 → Sell $388.56 ▲ +3.36% · +$3.36 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
Pete Hegseth

“Hegseth taps Musk, Gingrich and Luckey to predict the future of war: Be very afraid - San Francisco Chronicle Hegseth taps Musk, Gingrich and Luckey to predict the future of war: Be very afraid San Francisco Chronicle”

💡 Secretary Hegseth consulting with tech and defense figures on the future of war suggests increased focus and potential investment in advanced military technologies, benefiting defense contractors and AI developers.

  • LONG $LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation conf 8/10 ▲ +2% expected Buy $510.12 → Sell $511.69 ▲ +0.31% · +$0.31 per $100
  • LONG $RTX RTX Corporation conf 8/10 ▲ +2.1% expected Buy $183.29 → Sell $186.46 ▲ +1.73% · +$1.73 per $100
  • LONG $GD General Dynamics Corporation conf 7/10 ▲ +1.8% expected Buy $331.33 → Sell $334.00 ▲ +0.81% · +$0.81 per $100
  • LONG $PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. conf 6/10 ▲ +1.5% expected Buy $191.25 → Sell $209.31 ▲ +9.44% · +$9.44 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
  • LONG $SMCI Super Micro Computer, Inc. conf 5/10 ▲ +1.2% expected Buy $42.60 → Sell $45.76 ▲ +7.43% · +$7.43 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
Pete Hegseth

“Pentagon, under Hegseth, expands war against drug cartels in South America - The Hill Pentagon, under Hegseth, expands war against drug cartels in South America The Hill”

💡 The Pentagon's expanded operations against drug cartels in South America under Secretary Hegseth could boost defense contractors and potentially impact commodity prices.

  • LONG $LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation conf 8/10 ▲ +1.8% expected Buy $510.48 → Sell $512.26 ▲ +0.35% · +$0.35 per $100
  • LONG $RTX RTX Corporation conf 8/10 ▲ +1.5% expected Buy $185.28 → Sell $186.46 ▲ +0.64% · +$0.64 per $100
  • LONG $GD General Dynamics Corporation conf 7/10 ▲ +1.2% expected Buy $331.33 → Sell $334.00 ▲ +0.81% · +$0.81 per $100
  • LONG $COIN Coinbase Global, Inc. conf 4/10 ▲ +0.7% expected Buy $181.09 → Sell $183.61 ▲ +1.39% · +$1.39 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
  • LONG $USO United States Oil Fund, LP conf 4/10 ▲ +0.6% expected Buy $145.59 → Sell $150.48 ▲ +3.36% · +$3.36 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
Pete Hegseth

“Video | Trump Unveils America’s 'Arsenal Of Freedom' | Biggest Shipyard Since WWII | Pete Hegseth - NDTV Video | Trump Unveils America’s 'Arsenal Of Freedom' | Biggest Shipyard Since WWII | Pete Hegseth NDTV”

💡 The unveiling of a major new U.S. shipyard by Trump and Hegseth signals increased defense spending and a boost for shipbuilding and related industries.

  • LONG $HII Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. conf 9/10 ▲ +4% expected Buy $263.75 → Sell $267.24 ▲ +1.32% · +$1.32 per $100
  • LONG $GD General Dynamics Corporation conf 8/10 ▲ +3.2% expected Buy $331.33 → Sell $334.00 ▲ +0.81% · +$0.81 per $100
  • LONG $ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF conf 8/10 ▲ +2.5% expected Buy $208.26 → Sell $208.74 ▲ +0.23% · +$0.23 per $100
  • LONG $RTX RTX Corporation conf 7/10 ▲ +1.8% expected Buy $183.50 → Sell $186.46 ▲ +1.61% · +$1.61 per $100
Pete Hegseth

“Families of some US troops killed in the Iran war's deadliest strike absent from White House event - Times Union Families of some US troops killed in the Iran war's deadliest strike absent from White House event Times Union”

💡 Reports of families absent from a White House event after a deadly strike in the Iran war suggest ongoing conflict and potential escalation, negatively impacting defense and oil sectors.

  • LONG $SH ProShares Short S&P500 conf 6/10 ▲ +0.9% expected Buy $31.74 → Sell $32.11 ▲ +1.15% · +$1.15 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
  • LONG $USO United States Oil Fund, LP conf 5/10 ▲ +1.5% expected Buy $144.91 → Sell $150.48 ▲ +3.84% · +$3.84 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
  • SHORT $ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF conf 5/10 ▼ −1.2% expected Buy $208.26 → Sell $201.00 ▲ +3.49% · +$3.49 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
Pete Hegseth

“Senator Says Hegseth Barred Him From Gulf Base to 'Cover Up the True Cost' of Iran War - Common Dreams Senator Says Hegseth Barred Him From Gulf Base to 'Cover Up the True Cost' of Iran War Common Dreams”

💡 Allegations that Secretary Hegseth is covering up the true cost of the Iran War could increase political uncertainty and potentially impact defense spending and oil prices.

  • LONG $SH ProShares Short S&P500 conf 5/10 ▲ +0.8% expected Buy $31.74 → Sell $32.11 ▲ +1.15% · +$1.15 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
  • LONG $USO United States Oil Fund, LP conf 4/10 ▲ +0.8% expected Buy $144.91 → Sell $150.48 ▲ +3.84% · +$3.84 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
  • SHORT $XAR State Street SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF conf 7/10 ▼ −1.2% expected Buy $233.62 → Sell $223.67 ▲ +4.26% · +$4.26 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
Pete Hegseth

“Trump to Announce Investment in Maryland Submarine Facility - The New York Times Trump to Announce Investment in Maryland Submarine Facility The New York Times”

💡 President Trump is expected to announce an investment in a Maryland submarine facility, which should benefit defense contractors involved in submarine construction and maintenance.

  • LONG $GD General Dynamics Corporation conf 8/10 ▲ +2.2% expected Buy $331.33 → Sell $334.00 ▲ +0.81% · +$0.81 per $100
  • LONG $HII Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. conf 8/10 ▲ +2.1% expected Buy $265.00 → Sell $267.24 ▲ +0.85% · +$0.85 per $100
  • LONG $ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF conf 7/10 ▲ +1% expected Buy $208.26 → Sell $208.88 ▲ +0.3% · +$0.30 per $100
  • LONG $LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation conf 7/10 ▲ +1.2% expected Buy $510.90 → Sell $512.26 ▲ +0.27% · +$0.27 per $100

Frequently asked questions

What do Trade The Post alerts for Pete Hegseth include?
Each market-moving post from Pete Hegseth can trigger an alert with the exact ticker, LONG or SHORT, expected move size, and a 0–10 confidence score — in plain English, sent to your Telegram. Every alert is logged on our public track record.
How is Pete Hegseth's hit rate measured?
On this tracker, 71.6% of 2249 settled alerts reached the expected move published in the alert. A hit means price reached the expected move published in the alert, in the called direction, inside the 72-hour window. Full definitions are on our methodology page.
How do I follow Pete Hegseth?
Tap “Follow on Telegram” on this page to open our bot with Pete Hegseth pre-selected. Your free trial starts instantly; paid speeds and billing are managed in the same Telegram chat.