Kevin Warsh Stock Trade Alerts & Tracker

“Fed grows more hawkish on inflation but there is room to wait on rate hikes - Baltimore Sun Fed grows more hawkish on inflation but there is room to wait on rate hikes Baltimore Sun”

💡 The Federal Reserve is signaling a more hawkish stance on inflation, but indicates a willingness to delay immediate rate hikes, creating uncertainty for interest-rate sensitive sectors.

• LONG $PSQ ProShares Short QQQ conf 6/10 ▲ +0.9% expected Buy $24.59 → Peak $24.58 ▼ −0.04% · $-0.04 per $100 so far · open
• LONG $XLF State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF conf 6/10 ▲ +1% expected Buy $54.23 → Peak $54.82 ▲ +1.09% · +$1.09 per $100 ✓ hit expected move so far · open
• LONG $REK ProShares Short Real Estate conf 5/10 ▲ +0.8% expected Buy $16.83 → Peak $16.70 ▼ −0.77% · $-0.77 per $100 so far · open
• LONG $TBT ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury conf 5/10 ▲ +1.2% expected Buy $42.19 → Peak $42.94 ▲ +1.77% · +$1.77 per $100 ✓ hit expected move so far · open
• NEUTRAL $SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust conf 4/10 no clear move tracking…

“Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Fired Back at President Donald Trump's Interest Rate Critiques With a Blunt 9-Word Statement - The Motley Fool Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Fired Back at President Donald Trump's Interest Rate Critiques With a Blunt 9-Word S”

💡 Fed Chair Warsh's blunt response to Trump's rate critiques signals continued hawkishness, likely supporting the dollar and pressuring rate-sensitive sectors.

• LONG $PSQ ProShares Short QQQ conf 8/10 ▲ +1.7% expected Buy $24.35 → Sell $24.73 ▲ +1.54% · +$1.54 per $100
• LONG $XLF State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF conf 8/10 ▲ +1.5% expected Buy $53.55 → Sell $54.82 ▲ +2.37% · +$2.37 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
• LONG $SH ProShares Short S&P500 conf 7/10 ▲ +1% expected Buy $31.82 → Sell $32.11 ▲ +0.9% · +$0.90 per $100
• LONG $TBF ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury conf 6/10 ▲ +0.8% expected Buy $26.95 → Sell $27.07 ▲ +0.45% · +$0.45 per $100
• LONG $UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund conf 6/10 ▲ +0.6% expected Buy $29.04 → Sell $29.07 ▲ +0.09% · +$0.09 per $100

“Fed minutes flag concerns over potential bond market stress - Firstpost Fed minutes flag concerns over potential bond market stress Firstpost”

💡 Federal Reserve minutes indicate concerns about bond market stress, suggesting potential for tighter monetary policy or market instability, which is bearish for equities and bullish for safe-haven assets.

• LONG $SH ProShares Short S&P500 conf 7/10 ▲ +0.8% expected Buy $31.82 → Sell $32.11 ▲ +0.9% · +$0.90 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
• LONG $TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF conf 7/10 ▲ +0.9% expected Buy $77.14 → Sell $78.05 ▲ +1.17% · +$1.17 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
• SHORT $JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. conf 5/10 ▼ −1.2% expected Buy $329.58 → Sell $325.60 ▲ +1.21% · +$1.21 per $100 ✓ hit expected move

“Fed officials feared inflation pressures could spread, minutes show - Axios Fed officials feared inflation pressures could spread, minutes show Axios”

💡 Minutes from the Federal Reserve indicate officials are concerned about spreading inflation, suggesting a hawkish stance and potential for higher interest rates.

• LONG $PSQ ProShares Short QQQ conf 7/10 ▲ +1% expected Buy $24.25 → Sell $24.73 ▲ +1.96% · +$1.96 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
• LONG $SH ProShares Short S&P500 conf 7/10 ▲ +0.8% expected Buy $31.83 → Sell $32.11 ▲ +0.86% · +$0.86 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
• LONG $TBT ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury conf 6/10 ▲ +1.2% expected Buy $42.98 → Sell $43.59 ▲ +1.42% · +$1.42 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
• LONG $XLF State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF conf 6/10 ▲ +0.6% expected Buy $53.75 → Sell $54.82 ▲ +1.99% · +$1.99 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
• SHORT $SPG Simon Property Group, Inc. conf 6/10 ▼ −1.2% expected Buy $197.75 → Sell $196.76 ▲ +0.5% · +$0.50 per $100

“Fed officials expect another rate hike will be needed this year: meeting minutes - New York Post Fed officials expect another rate hike will be needed this year: meeting minutes New York Post”

💡 Federal Reserve meeting minutes indicate another rate hike is expected this year, which is bearish for equities and bullish for the dollar and bond yields.

• LONG $SH ProShares Short S&P500 conf 7/10 ▲ +1.2% expected Buy $31.80 → Sell $32.11 ▲ +0.96% · +$0.96 per $100
• LONG $TBT ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury conf 6/10 ▲ +1.2% expected Buy $42.89 → Sell $43.59 ▲ +1.64% · +$1.64 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
• LONG $UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund conf 6/10 ▲ +0.7% expected Buy $29.03 → Sell $29.07 ▲ +0.12% · +$0.12 per $100

“Federal Reserve officials expect another rate hike will be needed this year, according to minutes - WJTV Federal Reserve officials expect another rate hike will be needed this year, according to minutes WJTV”

💡 Federal Reserve minutes indicate another rate hike is expected this year, which will likely weigh on equities and boost the dollar.

• LONG $PSQ ProShares Short QQQ conf 7/10 ▲ +2% expected Buy $24.26 → Sell $24.73 ▲ +1.91% · +$1.91 per $100
• LONG $SH ProShares Short S&P500 conf 7/10 ▲ +1.5% expected Buy $31.82 → Sell $32.11 ▲ +0.91% · +$0.91 per $100
• LONG $UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund conf 7/10 ▲ +0.9% expected Buy $29.02 → Sell $29.07 ▲ +0.14% · +$0.14 per $100
• LONG $XLF State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF conf 7/10 ▲ +1.2% expected Buy $53.73 → Sell $54.82 ▲ +2.03% · +$2.03 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
• SHORT $XLK State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF conf 6/10 ▼ −1.5% expected Buy $201.40 → Sell $196.48 ▲ +2.44% · +$2.44 per $100 ✓ hit expected move

“Hawkish Fed triggers emerging market outflows in September - The Straits Times Hawkish Fed triggers emerging market outflows in September The Straits Times”

💡 A hawkish Fed stance, as reported, is likely to continue driving capital out of emerging markets, strengthening the USD and potentially impacting U.S. companies with significant EM exposure.

• LONG $EUM ProShares Short MSCI Emerging Markets conf 7/10 ▲ +1.8% expected Buy $15.61 → Sell $15.96 ▲ +2.24% · +$2.24 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
• LONG $UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund conf 5/10 ▲ +0.6% expected Buy $29.05 → Sell $29.07 ▲ +0.05% · +$0.05 per $100
• SHORT $EMB iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF conf 8/10 ▼ −1.8% expected Buy $90.56 → Sell $90.53 ▲ +0.03% · +$0.03 per $100

“Trump Distances Himself From Fed Chair Warsh After Rate Hike, Blames 'Hostile' Board - BigGo Finance Trump Distances Himself From Fed Chair Warsh After Rate Hike, Blames 'Hostile' Board BigGo Finance”

💡 President Trump's criticism of Fed Chair Warsh and the 'hostile' board after a rate hike suggests potential political pressure on the Fed, creating uncertainty and likely leading to market volatility, especially in rate-sensitive sectors.

• LONG $PSQ ProShares Short QQQ conf 8/10 ▲ +2.2% expected Buy $24.15 → Sell $24.73 ▲ +2.38% · +$2.38 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
• LONG $SH ProShares Short S&P500 conf 8/10 ▲ +1.8% expected Buy $31.72 → Sell $32.11 ▲ +1.23% · +$1.23 per $100
• LONG $TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF conf 6/10 ▲ +1.3% expected Buy $77.47 → Sell $77.95 ▲ +0.62% · +$0.62 per $100
• LONG $REK ProShares Short Real Estate conf 5/10 ▲ +1.8% expected Buy $16.75 → Sell $17.06 ▲ +1.85% · +$1.85 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
• LONG $SEF ProShares Short Financials conf 5/10 ▲ +1.6% expected Buy $31.22 → Sell $31.55 ▲ +1.07% · +$1.07 per $100

“Here We Go! President Donald Trump Just Threw Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Under the Bus Over Interest Rates. - The Motley Fool Here We Go! President Donald Trump Just Threw Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Under the Bus Over Interest Rates. The Motley Fool”

💡 President Trump's criticism of Fed Chair Warsh over interest rates suggests potential political pressure on monetary policy, likely increasing market uncertainty and potentially leading to a more hawkish Fed stance or market volatility.

• LONG $SH ProShares Short S&P500 conf 6/10 ▲ +1.5% expected Buy $31.87 → Sell $32.11 ▲ +0.74% · +$0.74 per $100
• LONG $SEF ProShares Short Financials conf 5/10 ▲ +1.8% expected Buy $31.30 → Sell $31.55 ▲ +0.78% · +$0.78 per $100
• LONG $TBT ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury conf 5/10 ▲ +1.5% expected Buy $42.94 → Sell $43.77 ▲ +1.93% · +$1.93 per $100 ✓ hit expected move

“Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Says Inflation Is ‘Too High.’ Your Savings Account May Be Losing to It - Money Talks News Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Says Inflation Is ‘Too High.’ Your Savings Account May Be Losing to It Money Talks News”

💡 Fed Chair Warsh's comment on inflation being 'too high' suggests continued hawkish monetary policy, likely leading to higher interest rates and a stronger dollar, which is bearish for equities and gold.

• LONG $PSQ ProShares Short QQQ conf 8/10 ▲ +1.5% expected Buy $24.31 → Sell $24.73 ▲ +1.71% · +$1.71 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
• LONG $SH ProShares Short S&P500 conf 8/10 ▲ +1.3% expected Buy $31.91 → Sell $32.11 ▲ +0.61% · +$0.61 per $100
• LONG $UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund conf 7/10 ▲ +0.7% expected Buy $28.99 → Sell $29.08 ▲ +0.31% · +$0.31 per $100
• LONG $XLF State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF conf 7/10 ▲ +1.1% expected Buy $53.88 → Sell $54.34 ▲ +0.85% · +$0.85 per $100
• SHORT $GLD SPDR Gold Shares conf 5/10 ▼ −0.6% expected Buy $379.40 → Sell $372.80 ▲ +1.74% · +$1.74 per $100 ✓ hit expected move

“Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Just Used 5 Words to Describe the Fed's First Rate Hike Since 2023, Saying The Fed "Removed A Dose of Accommodation." Should Investors Brace for More Hikes This Year? - The Motley Fool Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Just Used ”

💡 Fed Chair Warsh's comments on removing accommodation signal a hawkish stance, likely leading to further rate hikes and a negative impact on growth stocks and the broader market.

• LONG $PSQ ProShares Short QQQ conf 8/10 ▲ +2.5% expected Buy $24.52 → Sell $24.59 ▲ +0.29% · +$0.29 per $100
• LONG $SH ProShares Short S&P500 conf 8/10 ▲ +2% expected Buy $32.12 → Sell $32.20 ▲ +0.25% · +$0.25 per $100
• LONG $XLF State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF conf 7/10 ▲ +1.5% expected Buy $53.49 → Sell $54.30 ▲ +1.51% · +$1.51 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
• LONG $TBT ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury conf 6/10 ▲ +2% expected Buy $42.54 → Sell $43.77 ▲ +2.89% · +$2.89 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
• SHORT $SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF conf 5/10 ▼ −1.5% expected Buy $630.60 → Sell $618.78 ▲ +1.87% · +$1.87 per $100 ✓ hit expected move

“Stubborn inflation, consistent growth shift Fed debate to timing of next hike - baltimoresun.com Stubborn inflation, consistent growth shift Fed debate to timing of next hike baltimoresun.com”

💡 Reports of persistent inflation and strong growth suggest the Federal Reserve may hike interest rates sooner than expected, negatively impacting growth stocks and the broader market.

• LONG $PSQ ProShares Short QQQ conf 8/10 ▲ +2.5% expected Buy $24.44 → Sell $24.59 ▲ +0.59% · +$0.59 per $100
• LONG $SH ProShares Short S&P500 conf 8/10 ▲ +2% expected Buy $32.08 → Sell $32.23 ▲ +0.48% · +$0.48 per $100
• LONG $XLF State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF conf 7/10 ▲ +1.5% expected Buy $53.54 → Sell $53.80 ▲ +0.49% · +$0.49 per $100
• LONG $TBT ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury conf 6/10 ▲ +2% expected Buy $42.10 → Sell $43.25 ▲ +2.73% · +$2.73 per $100 ✓ hit expected move

“Fed policymakers lean against October rate hike - The Business Times Fed policymakers lean against October rate hike The Business Times”

💡 Reports suggest Fed policymakers are leaning against an October rate hike, which is bullish for equities and bonds.

• LONG $TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF conf 8/10 ▲ +1.2% expected Buy $77.71 → Sell $78.40 ▲ +0.89% · +$0.89 per $100
• LONG $SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust conf 7/10 ▲ +0.8% expected Buy $763.99 → Sell $772.65 ▲ +1.13% · +$1.13 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
• LONG $QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust conf 6/10 ▲ +0.9% expected Buy $742.03 → Sell $779.68 ▲ +5.07% · +$5.07 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
• NEUTRAL $XLF State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF conf 5/10 no clear move tracking…

“Trump criticizes Kevin Warsh for his support of the rate hike and demands to stop the Fed's monetary tightening. - Demócrata Trump criticizes Kevin Warsh for his support of the rate hike and demands to stop the Fed's monetary tightening. D”

💡 Trump's criticism of Fed Chair Warsh and demand to stop monetary tightening could lead to market uncertainty and pressure the Fed to ease, potentially weakening the dollar and boosting risk assets, but also raising inflation concerns.

• LONG $TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF conf 8/10 ▲ +1.5% expected Buy $77.07 → Sell $78.40 ▲ +1.73% · +$1.73 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
• LONG $GLD SPDR Gold Shares conf 7/10 ▲ +1.2% expected Buy $381.90 → Sell $394.41 ▲ +3.27% · +$3.27 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
• LONG $SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust conf 6/10 ▲ +0.7% expected Buy $764.75 → Sell $772.65 ▲ +1.03% · +$1.03 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
• SHORT $UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund conf 7/10 ▼ −1% expected Buy $28.88 → Sell $28.79 ▲ +0.29% · +$0.29 per $100

“The Fed’s Favorite Inflation Metric Just Hit 3%—Cooling Urgency for Rate Hike - Realtor.com The Fed’s Favorite Inflation Metric Just Hit 3%—Cooling Urgency for Rate Hike Realtor.com”

💡 The Fed's preferred inflation metric hitting 3% suggests less urgency for rate hikes, which is bullish for equities and bonds.

• LONG $XHB State Street SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF conf 8/10 ▲ +1.8% expected Buy $96.48 → Sell $99.13 ▲ +2.75% · +$2.75 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
• LONG $TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF conf 7/10 ▲ +1% expected Buy $77.67 → Sell $78.40 ▲ +0.95% · +$0.95 per $100
• LONG $QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust conf 6/10 ▲ +0.9% expected Buy $743.71 → Sell $779.68 ▲ +4.84% · +$4.84 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
• LONG $SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust conf 6/10 ▲ +0.6% expected Buy $767.99 → Sell $772.65 ▲ +0.61% · +$0.61 per $100 ✓ hit expected move

“One Sentence From Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Delivers a Dire Warning to Wall Street and Investors - The Motley Fool One Sentence From Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Delivers a Dire Warning to Wall Street and Investors The Motley Fool”

💡 A headline from The Motley Fool reports a dire warning from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, likely indicating a hawkish stance on monetary policy, which could negatively impact broad market indices and interest-rate sensitive sectors.

• LONG $PSQ ProShares Short QQQ conf 7/10 ▲ +2.5% expected Buy $24.83 → Sell $24.94 ▲ +0.44% · +$0.44 per $100
• LONG $SH ProShares Short S&P500 conf 7/10 ▲ +2% expected Buy $32.24 → Sell $32.56 ▲ +0.99% · +$0.99 per $100
• LONG $SEF ProShares Short Financials conf 5/10 ▲ +1% expected Buy $31.18 → Sell $31.87 ▲ +2.21% · +$2.21 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
• SHORT $XLY State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF conf 7/10 ▼ −2.2% expected Buy $109.15 → Sell $107.99 ▲ +1.06% · +$1.06 per $100
• SHORT $XLK State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF conf 5/10 ▼ −2% expected Buy $195.11 → Sell $193.80 ▲ +0.67% · +$0.67 per $100

“Kevin Warsh Just Signaled Higher-for-Longer Rates. Here's What That Means for Big Pharma Dividend Stocks. - The Motley Fool Kevin Warsh Just Signaled Higher-for-Longer Rates. Here's What That Means for Big Pharma Dividend Stocks. The Motle”

💡 Fed Chair Warsh's signal of higher-for-longer rates is bearish for dividend stocks, particularly those in Big Pharma, as higher rates make their dividends less attractive.

• LONG $SH ProShares Short S&P500 conf 5/10 ▲ +0.8% expected Buy $32.01 → Sell $32.40 ▲ +1.2% · +$1.20 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
• SHORT $JNJ Johnson & Johnson conf 5/10 ▼ −1.3% expected Buy $271.22 → Sell $265.59 ▲ +2.08% · +$2.08 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
• SHORT $MRK Merck & Co., Inc. conf 5/10 ▼ −1.3% expected Buy $148.78 → Sell $146.09 ▲ +1.81% · +$1.81 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
• SHORT $PFE Pfizer Inc. conf 5/10 ▼ −1.3% expected Buy $28.67 → Sell $28.26 ▲ +1.43% · +$1.43 per $100 ✓ hit expected move

“6 Words From Kevin Warsh Changed the Question From “Will the Fed Hike Rates?” to “How High Can Rates Go?” - 24/7 Wall St. 6 Words From Kevin Warsh Changed the Question From “Will the Fed Hike Rates?” to “How High Can Rates Go?” 24/7 Wall S”

💡 A news report suggests Fed Chair Warsh's comments have shifted market expectations from 'if' to 'how high' for rate hikes, indicating a more aggressive tightening cycle than previously anticipated.

• LONG $PSQ ProShares Short QQQ conf 7/10 ▲ +2% expected Buy $24.64 → Sell $25.08 ▲ +1.78% · +$1.78 per $100
• LONG $SH ProShares Short S&P500 conf 7/10 ▲ +1.5% expected Buy $32.01 → Sell $32.36 ▲ +1.09% · +$1.09 per $100
• LONG $XLF State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF conf 7/10 ▲ +1.5% expected Buy $54.84 → Sell $54.91 ▲ +0.13% · +$0.13 per $100
• LONG $TBT ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury conf 6/10 ▲ +1.5% expected Buy $40.91 → Sell $41.97 ▲ +2.58% · +$2.58 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
• SHORT $ITB iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF conf 6/10 ▼ −2% expected Buy $89.43 → Sell $88.32 ▲ +1.24% · +$1.24 per $100

“Fed's Kevin Warsh Says 2% Is 'Firm, Fixed Target,' McDonald’s CEO Sees Years of Elevated Inflation — Peter Schiff Asks ‘Who Do You Believe?’ - Yahoo Finance Fed's Kevin Warsh Says 2% Is 'Firm, Fixed Target,' McDonald’s CEO Sees Years of El”

💡 Fed Chair Warsh reaffirms the 2% inflation target, suggesting continued hawkish policy, while McDonald's CEO warns of persistent inflation, creating market uncertainty.

• LONG $SH ProShares Short S&P500 conf 6/10 ▲ +0.8% expected Buy $31.97 → Sell $32.33 ▲ +1.13% · +$1.13 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
• LONG $TBF ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury conf 5/10 ▲ +0.8% expected Buy $26.26 → Sell $26.63 ▲ +1.39% · +$1.39 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
• SHORT $MCD McDonald's Corporation conf 7/10 ▼ −1.8% expected Buy $236.60 → Sell $232.09 ▲ +1.91% · +$1.91 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
• NEUTRAL $SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust conf 5/10 no clear move tracking…

“Removing the punchbowl: Kevin Warsh's first test as Fed chair - Anadolu Ajansı Removing the punchbowl: Kevin Warsh's first test as Fed chair Anadolu Ajansı”

💡 The article suggests new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh may adopt a hawkish stance, potentially leading to higher interest rates and a negative impact on growth-sensitive sectors.

• LONG $PSQ ProShares Short QQQ conf 7/10 ▲ +1.5% expected Buy $24.64 → Sell $25.08 ▲ +1.78% · +$1.78 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
• LONG $SH ProShares Short S&P500 conf 7/10 ▲ +0.9% expected Buy $32.00 → Sell $32.33 ▲ +1.03% · +$1.03 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
• LONG $TBF ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury conf 6/10 ▲ +1.2% expected Buy $26.27 → Sell $26.63 ▲ +1.37% · +$1.37 per $100 ✓ hit expected move
• LONG $XLF State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF conf 6/10 ▲ +1% expected Buy $54.85 → Sell $58.58 ▲ +6.8% · +$6.80 per $100 ✓ hit expected move