Kevin Warsh Federal Reserve Chair

“Federal Reserve policymakers show support for rate hikes as Warsh reins in guidance - Greenwich Time Federal Reserve policymakers show support for rate hikes as Warsh reins in guidance Greenwich Time”

💡 Federal Reserve policymakers supporting rate hikes is bearish for the broad market as higher rates typically slow economic growth.

• SHORT $SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust conf 7/10 ▼ −0.75% expected tracking…
• SHORT $QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust conf 7/10 ▼ −1% expected tracking…
• SHORT $XLK Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund conf 7/10 ▼ −1% expected tracking…

“Latest Jobs Report Shows Labor Market Is Not a Source of Inflationary Pressure - The New York Times Latest Jobs Report Shows Labor Market Is Not a Source of Inflationary Pressure The New York Times”

💡 The latest jobs report suggests the labor market is not fueling inflation, which could lead the Federal Reserve to ease monetary policy, boosting the broad market.

• LONG $SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust conf 7/10 ▲ +0.8% expected Buy $746.68 → Peak $751.05 ▲ 0.59% · +$0.59 per $100 so far · open
• LONG $QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust conf 7/10 ▲ +1.2% expected Buy $707.95 → Peak $713.87 ▲ 0.84% · +$0.84 per $100 so far · open
• LONG $TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF conf 6/10 ▲ +0.7% expected Buy $84.82 → Peak $84.88 ▲ 0.07% · +$0.07 per $100 so far · open

“New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Prioritizes Price Stability Over Rate Cuts in 2026 - News and Statistics - IndexBox New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Prioritizes Price Stability Over Rate Cuts in 2026 - News and Statistics IndexBox”

💡 New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's focus on price stability over rate cuts suggests a hawkish stance, which could negatively impact growth stocks and the broader market.

• SHORT $SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust conf 7/10 ▼ −1% expected Buy $747.04 → Peak $745.21 ▲ 0.24% · +$0.24 per $100 so far · open
• SHORT $QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust conf 7/10 ▼ −1.5% expected Buy $707.35 → Peak $704.90 ▲ 0.35% · +$0.35 per $100 so far · open
• SHORT $TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF conf 6/10 ▼ −0.8% expected Buy $84.91 → Peak $84.50 ▲ 0.48% · +$0.48 per $100 so far · open

“Federal Reserve Chair Warsh emphasizes political independence, signals focus on inflation - Mainline Media News Federal Reserve Chair Warsh emphasizes political independence, signals focus on inflation Mainline Media News”

💡 Federal Reserve Chair Warsh's emphasis on political independence and focus on inflation suggests a hawkish stance, which could negatively impact growth stocks and the broader market.

• SHORT $SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust conf 7/10 ▼ −0.75% expected Buy $747.12 → Peak $745.21 ▲ 0.26% · +$0.26 per $100 so far · open
• SHORT $QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust conf 7/10 ▼ −1.2% expected Buy $708.22 → Peak $704.90 ▲ 0.47% · +$0.47 per $100 so far · open
• SHORT $TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF conf 6/10 ▼ −0.8% expected Buy $84.90 → Peak $84.50 ▲ 0.47% · +$0.47 per $100 so far · open

“Fed chairman says inflation risks are declining, predicts AI will create jobs - NBC News Fed chairman says inflation risks are declining, predicts AI will create jobs NBC News”

💡 The Fed chairman's comments on declining inflation risks and AI job creation are broadly bullish for the market, suggesting a less aggressive Fed and economic growth.

• LONG $SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust conf 7/10 ▲ +0.75% expected Buy $747.01 → Peak $751.05 ▲ 0.54% · +$0.54 per $100 so far · open
• LONG $QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust conf 7/10 ▲ +1% expected Buy $708.09 → Peak $713.87 ▲ 0.82% · +$0.82 per $100 so far · open
• LONG $MSFT Microsoft Corp conf 6/10 ▲ +1.2% expected Buy $394.44 → Peak $395.57 ▲ 0.29% · +$0.29 per $100 so far · open
• LONG $NVDA NVIDIA Corp conf 6/10 ▲ +1.5% expected Buy $192.66 → Peak $198.41 ▲ 2.98% · +$2.98 per $100 so far · open

“Fed’s Warsh Says Inflation Poses Less Risk Than a Few Weeks Ago - The New York Times Fed’s Warsh Says Inflation Poses Less Risk Than a Few Weeks Ago The New York Times”

💡 A former Fed governor's comments suggesting reduced inflation risk could lead to expectations of a less aggressive Fed, boosting broad market indices.

• LONG $SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust conf 6/10 ▲ +0.75% expected Buy $746.92 → Peak $751.05 ▲ 0.55% · +$0.55 per $100 so far · open
• LONG $QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust conf 6/10 ▲ +1% expected Buy $708.00 → Peak $713.87 ▲ 0.83% · +$0.83 per $100 so far · open
• LONG $TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF conf 5/10 ▲ +0.5% expected Buy $84.90 → Peak $84.98 ▲ 0.10% · +$0.10 per $100 so far · open

“President Trump will not get what he wants from Kevin Warsh, a source tells us, as inflation will force the Fed upwards - Fortune President Trump will not get what he wants from Kevin Warsh, a source tells us, as inflation will force the F”

💡 Reports suggest the Federal Reserve will be forced to raise interest rates due to inflation, contrary to President Trump's likely preference for lower rates, which could negatively impact growth stocks.

• SHORT $SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust conf 6/10 ▼ −0.75% expected Buy $747.01 → Peak $745.21 ▲ 0.24% · +$0.24 per $100 so far · open
• SHORT $QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust conf 6/10 ▼ −1.2% expected Buy $708.14 → Peak $704.90 ▲ 0.46% · +$0.46 per $100 so far · open
• SHORT $TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF conf 6/10 ▼ −0.8% expected Buy $84.89 → Peak $84.50 ▲ 0.47% · +$0.47 per $100 so far · open

“Trump eases pressure on Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh as inflation tops 4% - CNBC Trump eases pressure on Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh as inflation tops 4% CNBC”

💡 Trump easing pressure on the Fed chairman suggests less political interference in monetary policy, which could be seen as a positive for market stability and potentially lead to a more measured approach to interest rate hikes.

• LONG $SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust conf 6/10 ▲ +0.75% expected Buy $747.53 → Peak $751.05 ▲ 0.47% · +$0.47 per $100 so far · open
• LONG $QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust conf 6/10 ▲ +0.9% expected Buy $708.47 → Peak $713.87 ▲ 0.76% · +$0.76 per $100 so far · open
• LONG $TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF conf 5/10 ▲ +0.6% expected Buy $84.90 → Peak $84.98 ▲ 0.10% · +$0.10 per $100 so far · open

“Fed Holds Rates Steady; Nearly Half of Policymakers See 2026 Rate Hike - News and Statistics - IndexBox Fed Holds Rates Steady; Nearly Half of Policymakers See 2026 Rate Hike - News and Statistics IndexBox”

💡 The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady, but nearly half of policymakers anticipate a rate hike in 2026, suggesting a hawkish lean for future policy.

• SHORT $TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF conf 7/10 ▼ −0.8% expected Buy $84.89 → Peak $84.50 ▲ 0.46% · +$0.46 per $100 so far · open
• NEUTRAL $SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust conf 6/10 no clear move tracking…
• NEUTRAL $QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust conf 6/10 no clear move tracking…
• LONG $XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund conf 6/10 ▲ +0.7% expected Buy $56.44 → Peak $56.53 ▲ 0.16% · +$0.16 per $100 so far · open

“Fed Keeps Rates Steady In Kevin Warsh’s First Rate Decision, Sees One Hike In 2026 - TradingView Fed Keeps Rates Steady In Kevin Warsh’s First Rate Decision, Sees One Hike In 2026 TradingView”

💡 The Federal Reserve kept interest rates steady in Kevin Warsh's first decision, projecting one rate hike in 2026, which is largely in line with market expectations.

• NEUTRAL $SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust conf 6/10 no clear move tracking…
• NEUTRAL $TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF conf 6/10 no clear move tracking…

“Fed Chair Kevin Warsh and the FOMC Will Likely Take the First Step Toward Dropping the Hammer on Trumpflation This Week - The Globe and Mail Fed Chair Kevin Warsh and the FOMC Will Likely Take the First Step Toward Dropping the Hammer on T”

💡 Anticipation of the Fed taking action against 'Trumpflation' suggests potential interest rate hikes, which could negatively impact growth stocks and the broader market.

• SHORT $SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust conf 6/10 ▼ −0.75% expected Buy $748.72 → Peak $745.21 ▲ 0.47% · +$0.47 per $100 so far · open
• SHORT $QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust conf 6/10 ▼ −1.2% expected Buy $711.10 → Peak $704.90 ▲ 0.87% · +$0.87 per $100 so far · open
• SHORT $TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF conf 6/10 ▼ −0.8% expected Buy $84.99 → Peak $84.50 ▲ 0.57% · +$0.57 per $100 so far · open

“Fed Scraps Forward Guidance Under Chair Kevin Warsh - Global Finance Magazine Fed Scraps Forward Guidance Under Chair Kevin Warsh Global Finance Magazine”

💡 The Federal Reserve scrapping forward guidance under a new chair could introduce market uncertainty, potentially impacting interest-rate sensitive sectors and the broader market.

• NEUTRAL $TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF conf 7/10 no clear move tracking…
• NEUTRAL $SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust conf 6/10 no clear move tracking…
• NEUTRAL $XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund conf 6/10 no clear move tracking…
• NEUTRAL $XLK Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund conf 5/10 no clear move tracking…

“Federal Reserve shifts away from forward guidance under new chief Kevin Warsh - The Hill Federal Reserve shifts away from forward guidance under new chief Kevin Warsh The Hill”

💡 The Federal Reserve's shift away from explicit forward guidance under new chief Kevin Warsh could introduce more uncertainty, potentially increasing volatility for broad market indices and impacting interest-rate sensitive sectors.

• NEUTRAL $SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust conf 6/10 no clear move tracking…
• NEUTRAL $QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust conf 6/10 no clear move tracking…
• NEUTRAL $XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund conf 5/10 no clear move tracking…

“Kevin Warsh, poised to usher in ‘regime change’ at the Federal Reserve - EL PAÍS English Kevin Warsh, poised to usher in ‘regime change’ at the Federal Reserve EL PAÍS English”

💡 Speculation about Kevin Warsh leading the Federal Reserve could signal a shift towards tighter monetary policy, potentially impacting interest-rate sensitive sectors.

• SHORT $XLRE Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund conf 5/10 ▼ −1% expected Buy $44.86 → Peak $44.80 ▲ 0.13% · +$0.13 per $100 so far · open
• LONG $XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund conf 5/10 ▲ +0.8% expected Buy $56.51 → Peak $56.54 ▲ 0.04% · +$0.04 per $100 so far · open
• NEUTRAL $SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust conf 4/10 no clear move tracking…

“Warsh promises a new vision for the Fed, as his colleagues eye a rate hike instead of a cut | CNN Business - CNN Warsh promises a new vision for the Fed, as his colleagues eye a rate hike instead of a cut | CNN Business CNN”

💡 Reports suggest a potential Fed rate hike, which would negatively impact growth stocks and the broader market.

• SHORT $SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust conf 7/10 ▼ −1.2% expected Buy $749.81 → Peak $745.21 ▲ 0.61% · +$0.61 per $100 so far · open
• SHORT $QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust conf 7/10 ▼ −1.8% expected Buy $713.46 → Peak $704.90 ▲ 1.20% · +$1.20 per $100 so far · open
• SHORT $XLK Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund conf 7/10 ▼ −1.5% expected Buy $179.67 → Peak $176.36 ▲ 1.84% · +$1.84 per $100 so far · open

“Trump is demanding rate cuts. Kevin Warsh’s first challenge may be saying no. - Politico Trump is demanding rate cuts. Kevin Warsh’s first challenge may be saying no. Politico”

💡 Trump's demand for rate cuts is bullish for the broad market, as lower rates typically stimulate economic activity.

• LONG $SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust conf 7/10 ▲ +0.75% expected Buy $751.28 → Peak $750.96 ▼ -0.04% · $-0.04 per $100 so far · open
• LONG $QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust conf 7/10 ▲ +0.8% expected Buy $722.82 → Peak $716.34 ▼ -0.90% · $-0.90 per $100 so far · open
• LONG $TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF conf 6/10 ▲ +1.2% expected Buy $85.45 → Peak $85.17 ▼ -0.33% · $-0.33 per $100 so far · open

“New Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh was bracing for rising inflation. A US-Iran agreement simplifies things | CNN Business - CNN New Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh was bracing for rising inflation. A US-Iran agreement simplifies things | CNN Business C”

💡 A US-Iran agreement could ease oil supply concerns, potentially lowering inflation expectations and benefiting the broader market, especially consumer discretionary stocks.

• SHORT $XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund conf 7/10 ▼ −1.5% expected Buy $53.13 → Peak $53.60 ▼ -0.88% · $-0.88 per $100 so far · open
• LONG $SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust conf 6/10 ▲ +0.7% expected Buy $751.28 → Peak $750.96 ▼ -0.04% · $-0.04 per $100 so far · open
• LONG $XLY Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund conf 6/10 ▲ +1% expected Buy $118.01 → Peak $119.12 ▲ 0.94% · +$0.94 per $100 so far · open

“Fed Chair Kevin Warsh and the FOMC Will Likely Dropping the Hammer on Trumpflation This Week - Moomoo Fed Chair Kevin Warsh and the FOMC Will Likely Dropping the Hammer on Trumpflation This Week Moomoo”

💡 Anticipation of the Fed raising interest rates to combat 'Trumpflation' is likely to weigh on the broad market.

• SHORT $SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust conf 6/10 ▼ −0.75% expected Buy $751.28 → Peak $745.21 ▲ 0.81% · +$0.81 per $100 so far · open
• SHORT $QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust conf 6/10 ▼ −1% expected Buy $722.82 → Peak $704.90 ▲ 2.48% · +$2.48 per $100 so far · open

“Kevin Warsh sworn in as Fed chair, but Trump’s rate cuts look increasingly unlikely - NBC News Kevin Warsh sworn in as Fed chair, but Trump’s rate cuts look increasingly unlikely NBC News”

💡 The swearing-in of Kevin Warsh as Fed chair, coupled with the unlikelihood of Trump's desired rate cuts, suggests a tighter monetary policy, which is bearish for the broad market.

• SHORT $SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust conf 7/10 ▼ −0.75% expected Buy $751.28 → Peak $745.21 ▲ 0.81% · +$0.81 per $100 so far · open
• SHORT $QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust conf 7/10 ▼ −1% expected Buy $722.82 → Peak $704.90 ▲ 2.48% · +$2.48 per $100 so far · open
• SHORT $TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF conf 6/10 ▼ −0.5% expected Buy $85.45 → Peak $84.54 ▲ 1.06% · +$1.06 per $100 so far · open