Anthony Albanese Prime Minister of Australia

“PM 'very worried' about Iran war escalation - ABC News & Headlines – Australian Broadcasting Corporation PM 'very worried' about Iran war escalation ABC News & Headlines – Australian Broadcasting Corporation”

💡 Concerns about Iran war escalation could drive oil prices higher and create uncertainty for the broader market.

• LONG $USO United States Oil Fund, LP conf 7/10 ▲ +2% expected Buy $104.35 → Peak $109.84 ▲ 5.26% · +$5.26 per $100 so far · open
• LONG $XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund conf 6/10 ▲ +1.5% expected Buy $53.13 → Peak $54.82 ▲ 3.18% · +$3.18 per $100 so far · open
• SHORT $SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust conf 5/10 ▼ −0.7% expected Buy $751.28 → Peak $745.21 ▲ 0.81% · +$0.81 per $100 so far · open

“Donald Trump, Anthony Albanese ink deal on rare earth minerals - The Indian Express Donald Trump, Anthony Albanese ink deal on rare earth minerals The Indian Express”

💡 The US and Australia signed a deal on rare earth minerals, which should benefit US rare earth miners and reduce reliance on China.

• LONG $MP MP Materials Corp. conf 7/10 ▲ +3.5% expected Buy $53.01 → Peak $53.35 ▲ 0.64% · +$0.64 per $100 so far · open
• LONG $LYC.AX Lynas Rare Earths Ltd. conf 6/10 ▲ +2.8% expected tracking…

“Australia closes in on critical minerals Trump tariff carve-out - The Australian Australia closes in on critical minerals Trump tariff carve-out The Australian”

💡 Australia nearing a critical minerals tariff exemption from Trump could benefit Australian mining companies and U.S. companies reliant on those imports.

• LONG $RIO Rio Tinto Group conf 6/10 ▲ +1.5% expected Buy $93.58 → Peak $93.04 ▼ -0.58% · $-0.58 per $100 so far · open
• LONG $BHP BHP Group Limited conf 6/10 ▲ +1.3% expected Buy $83.64 → Peak $82.43 ▼ -1.45% · $-1.45 per $100 so far · open
• NEUTRAL $ALB Albemarle Corporation conf 4/10 no clear move tracking…

“Government scrambling for details after Trump threatens higher tariffs - SMH.com.au Government scrambling for details after Trump threatens higher tariffs SMH.com.au”

💡 Trump's threat of higher tariffs could negatively impact broad market sentiment and specific sectors reliant on international trade.

• SHORT $SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust conf 7/10 ▼ −1% expected Buy $751.28 → Peak $745.21 ▲ 0.81% · +$0.81 per $100 so far · open
• SHORT $QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust conf 7/10 ▼ −1.2% expected Buy $722.82 → Peak $704.90 ▲ 2.48% · +$2.48 per $100 so far · open
• SHORT $XLI Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund conf 7/10 ▼ −1.5% expected Buy $185.56 → Peak $180.66 ▲ 2.64% · +$2.64 per $100 so far · open
• SHORT $XHB SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF conf 6/10 ▼ −1% expected Buy $111.29 → Peak $109.17 ▲ 1.90% · +$1.90 per $100 so far · open

“Debt for millions to soon be wiped - News.com.au Debt for millions to soon be wiped News.com.au”

💡 News of widespread debt forgiveness could boost consumer spending and benefit retail and consumer discretionary sectors.

• SHORT $DFS Discover Financial Services conf 7/10 ▼ −2% expected tracking…
• LONG $XRT SPDR S&P Retail ETF conf 6/10 ▲ +1.5% expected Buy $87.62 → Peak $88.43 ▲ 0.92% · +$0.92 per $100 so far · open
• LONG $VCR Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF conf 6/10 ▲ +1.2% expected Buy $398.32 → Peak $401.25 ▲ 0.74% · +$0.74 per $100 so far · open
• SHORT $BAC Bank of America Corp conf 6/10 ▼ −1% expected Buy $59.90 → Peak $59.93 ▼ -0.05% · $-0.05 per $100 so far · open

“Albanese dines with Greg Norman ahead of Trump tariff decision - AFR Albanese dines with Greg Norman ahead of Trump tariff decision AFR”

💡 Australian PM Albanese meeting with Greg Norman ahead of a potential Trump tariff decision suggests a focus on trade relations, potentially impacting Australian export-oriented companies.

• NEUTRAL $BHP BHP Group conf 5/10 no clear move tracking…
• NEUTRAL $RIO Rio Tinto Group conf 5/10 no clear move tracking…
• NEUTRAL $FMG.AX Fortescue Metals Group Ltd conf 5/10 no clear move tracking…

“US tariff exemption for Australian metal exports 'under consideration', Albanese says - ABC News & Headlines – Australian Broadcasting Corporation US tariff exemption for Australian metal exports 'under consideration', Albanese says ABC Ne”

💡 Australian Prime Minister Albanese indicates the US is considering tariff exemptions for Australian metal exports, which could benefit Australian mining companies.

• LONG $BHP BHP Group conf 6/10 ▲ +1.5% expected Buy $83.64 → Peak $82.43 ▼ -1.45% · $-1.45 per $100 so far · open
• LONG $RIO Rio Tinto Group conf 6/10 ▲ +1.5% expected Buy $93.58 → Peak $93.04 ▼ -0.58% · $-0.58 per $100 so far · open
• LONG $FMG Fortescue Metals Group Ltd conf 5/10 ▲ +1% expected tracking…

“VIDEO: Albanese says tariff exemption 'under consideration' after call with Trump - ABC News & Headlines – Australian Broadcasting Corporation VIDEO: Albanese says tariff exemption 'under consideration' after call with Trump ABC News & Hea”

💡 Australian Prime Minister Albanese's statement that a tariff exemption is 'under consideration' after a call with Trump suggests potential relief for Australian exports to the US, which could benefit Australian-exposed companies.

• LONG $BHP BHP Group conf 6/10 ▲ +1.5% expected Buy $83.64 → Peak $82.43 ▼ -1.45% · $-1.45 per $100 so far · open
• LONG $RIO Rio Tinto Group conf 6/10 ▲ +1.4% expected Buy $93.58 → Peak $93.04 ▼ -0.58% · $-0.58 per $100 so far · open
• LONG $FMG Fortescue Metals Group Ltd conf 5/10 ▲ +1.3% expected tracking…

“‘Unwarranted’: Trump proposes new 12.5 per cent tariff on Australia - SMH.com.au ‘Unwarranted’: Trump proposes new 12.5 per cent tariff on Australia SMH.com.au”

💡 Trump's proposed 12.5% tariff on Australia could negatively impact U.S. companies with significant trade ties or investments in Australia, as well as Australian companies listed in the U.S.

• SHORT $BHP BHP Group Limited conf 7/10 ▼ −2% expected Buy $83.64 → Peak $79.96 ▲ 4.40% · +$4.40 per $100 so far · open
• SHORT $RIO Rio Tinto Group conf 7/10 ▼ −1.8% expected Buy $93.58 → Peak $90.92 ▲ 2.84% · +$2.84 per $100 so far · open
• SHORT $FXA Invesco CurrencyShares Australian Dollar Trust conf 6/10 ▼ −0.7% expected Buy $68.82 → Peak $68.64 ▲ 0.27% · +$0.27 per $100 so far · open
• NEUTRAL $SPG Simon Property Group, Inc. conf 3/10 no clear move tracking…

“Australian Prime Minister: Tensions in the Strait of Hormuz Have a Negative Impact on the Global Economy and Fuel Prices - 8am.media Australian Prime Minister: Tensions in the Strait of Hormuz Have a Negative Impact on the Global Economy a”

💡 The Australian PM's comments on Strait of Hormuz tensions highlight ongoing risks to global oil supply, which could keep crude prices elevated and negatively impact the broader economy.

• LONG $USO United States Oil Fund, LP conf 6/10 ▲ +1.2% expected Buy $104.35 → Peak $108.36 ▲ 3.84% · +$3.84 per $100 so far · open
• LONG $XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund conf 5/10 ▲ +0.8% expected Buy $53.13 → Peak $54.51 ▲ 2.60% · +$2.60 per $100 so far · open
• SHORT $SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust conf 4/10 ▼ −0.3% expected Buy $751.28 → Peak $745.21 ▲ 0.81% · +$0.81 per $100 so far · open

“PM preparing Australia for protracted Middle East conflict - ABC News & Headlines – Australian Broadcasting Corporation PM preparing Australia for protracted Middle East conflict ABC News & Headlines – Australian Broadcasting Corporation”

💡 Australia's PM preparing for a protracted Middle East conflict suggests sustained high oil prices, benefiting energy companies.

• LONG $XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund conf 6/10 ▲ +0.8% expected Buy $53.13 → Peak $54.51 ▲ 2.60% · +$2.60 per $100 so far · open
• LONG $CVX Chevron Corporation conf 6/10 ▲ +1.2% expected Buy $168.10 → Peak $173.47 ▲ 3.19% · +$3.19 per $100 so far · open
• LONG $XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation conf 6/10 ▲ +1.1% expected Buy $136.44 → Peak $141.39 ▲ 3.63% · +$3.63 per $100 so far · open

“Albanese warns fuel crisis from Iran war to hit Australia for months - The Jerusalem Post Albanese warns fuel crisis from Iran war to hit Australia for months The Jerusalem Post”

💡 Australian Prime Minister Albanese warns that a fuel crisis from an Iran war will impact Australia for months, suggesting higher oil prices and potential economic strain.

• LONG $USO United States Oil Fund, LP conf 7/10 ▲ +2% expected Buy $104.35 → Peak $108.36 ▲ 3.84% · +$3.84 per $100 so far · open
• LONG $XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund conf 6/10 ▲ +1.5% expected Buy $53.13 → Peak $54.51 ▲ 2.60% · +$2.60 per $100 so far · open
• SHORT $XLI Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund conf 5/10 ▼ −0.8% expected Buy $185.56 → Peak $180.66 ▲ 2.64% · +$2.64 per $100 so far · open
• SHORT $SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust conf 4/10 ▼ −0.5% expected Buy $751.28 → Peak $745.21 ▲ 0.81% · +$0.81 per $100 so far · open

“Trump’s re-election may have helped Albanese – but the US war in Iran is creating economic conundrums - The Guardian Trump’s re-election may have helped Albanese – but the US war in Iran is creating economic conundrums The Guardian”

💡 Reports of a US war in Iran would likely cause oil prices to spike and create broad economic uncertainty, negatively impacting consumer discretionary and airline stocks.

• LONG $XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund conf 7/10 ▲ +3% expected Buy $53.13 → Peak $54.51 ▲ 2.60% · +$2.60 per $100 so far · open
• SHORT $DAL Delta Air Lines, Inc. conf 7/10 ▼ −4% expected Buy $91.68 → Peak $88.40 ▲ 3.57% · +$3.57 per $100 so far · open
• SHORT $XLY Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund conf 6/10 ▼ −2.5% expected Buy $118.01 → Peak $117.23 ▲ 0.66% · +$0.66 per $100 so far · open
• SHORT $SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust conf 6/10 ▼ −2% expected Buy $751.28 → Peak $745.21 ▲ 0.81% · +$0.81 per $100 so far · open