Every market-moving alert Trade The Post sent during the week of Jul 27 – Aug 2, 2026: the exact
tickers, the direction we called and how they moved. Our best call that week peaked at +67.9%
(Elon Musk).
“Bond Traders Flying Blind on Fed See Risk Yields Spiral Higher - Bloomberg.com
Bond Traders Flying Blind on Fed See Risk Yields Spiral Higher Bloomberg.com”
💡 Bond traders are concerned about the Fed's unclear policy direction, potentially leading to higher bond yields and a negative impact on growth stocks.
LONG$XLFState Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETFconf 5/10▲ +0.7% expectedBuy $56.94 → Sell $58.40▲ +2.57% · +$2.57 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$TLTiShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETFconf 8/10▼ −1.7% expectedBuy $82.25 → Sell $81.93▲ +0.39% · +$0.39 per $100
SHORT$QQQInvesco QQQ Trustconf 7/10▼ −1.2% expectedBuy $687.99 → Sell $652.23▲ +5.2% · +$5.20 per $100✓ hit expected move
Jensen Huang
“Jensen Huang Says the Chip Industry's Usual Boom-Bust Cycle Won't Hit for a While, a Bullish Signal for AI Stocks - fool.com
Jensen Huang Says the Chip Industry's Usual Boom-Bust Cycle Won't Hit for a While, a Bullish Signal for AI Stocks ”
💡 NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang's comments suggest a prolonged boom in the chip industry, particularly for AI-related stocks, due to sustained demand.
LONG$AMDAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc.conf 8/10▲ +2% expectedBuy $476.15 → Sell $532.92▲ +11.92% · +$11.92 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$SOXXiShares Semiconductor ETFconf 8/10▲ +1.8% expectedBuy $504.89 → Sell $546.49▲ +8.24% · +$8.24 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$NVDANVIDIA Corporationconf 7/10▲ +2.2% expectedBuy $200.75 → Sell $224.90▲ +12.03% · +$12.03 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$SMCISuper Micro Computer, Inc.conf 7/10▲ +2% expectedBuy $28.40 → Sell $32.34▲ +13.87% · +$13.87 per $100✓ hit expected move
Cathie Wood
“Cathie Wood Adds $6.83M in Circle Shares After NY Trust Approval - KuCoin
Cathie Wood Adds $6.83M in Circle Shares After NY Trust Approval KuCoin”
💡 Cathie Wood's ARK Invest added Circle shares after New York trust approval, signaling bullish sentiment for stablecoins and the crypto ecosystem.
LONG$COINCoinbase Global, Inc.conf 8/10▲ +1.8% expectedBuy $146.26 → Sell $154.53▲ +5.66% · +$5.66 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$ARKKARK Innovation ETFconf 7/10▲ +0.9% expectedBuy $71.24 → Sell $77.48▲ +8.76% · +$8.76 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$MSTRStrategy Incconf 7/10▲ +1.5% expectedBuy $93.28 → Sell $98.20▲ +5.27% · +$5.27 per $100✓ hit expected move
Donald J. Trump
“Trump's new NIH chief outlines sweeping reforms like new pandemic playbook, vaccine injury body: https:// justthenews.com/government/fed eral-agencies/trumps-new-nih-chief-outlines-sweeping-reforms-such-new-pandemic”
💡 Trump's post about potential NIH reforms, including a new pandemic playbook and vaccine injury body, could create uncertainty for pharmaceutical and biotech companies, while potentially benefiting medical device and healthcare services firms focused on preparedness.
LONG$ISRGIntuitive Surgical, Inc.conf 5/10▲ +1% expectedBuy $353.33 → Sell $378.00▲ +6.98% · +$6.98 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$UNHUnitedHealth Group Incorporatedconf 4/10▲ +0.8% expectedBuy $414.40 → Sell $434.50▲ +4.85% · +$4.85 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$MRNAModerna, Inc.conf 7/10▼ −1.8% expectedBuy $54.82 → Sell $52.66▲ +3.94% · +$3.94 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$PFEPfizer Inc.conf 7/10▼ −1.5% expectedBuy $25.01 → Sell $23.43▲ +6.32% · +$6.32 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$JNJJohnson & Johnsonconf 5/10▼ −1% expectedBuy $256.35 → Sell $250.11▲ +2.44% · +$2.44 per $100✓ hit expected move
Donald J. Trump
“Trump administration creating ‘incubators’ to develop new tech to counter drone terror attacks: https:// justthenews.com/government/sec urity/combatting-fury-skies-drone-warfare-necessitates-new-protection-technology”
💡 Trump administration's focus on counter-drone technology could boost defense contractors and tech firms in the sector.
LONG$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETFconf 7/10▲ +0.9% expectedBuy $239.66 → Sell $253.00▲ +5.57% · +$5.57 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$TXTTextron Inc.conf 7/10▲ +1.3% expectedBuy $85.26 → Sell $92.01▲ +7.92% · +$7.92 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$RTXRTX Corporationconf 6/10▲ +1.2% expectedBuy $215.22 → Sell $219.75▲ +2.1% · +$2.10 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$LMTLockheed Martin Corporationconf 5/10▲ +0.9% expectedBuy $582.74 → Sell $593.86▲ +1.91% · +$1.91 per $100✓ hit expected move
Sam Altman
“Sam Altman briefs Washington as OpenAI pushes new AI agents - The Financial Express
Sam Altman briefs Washington as OpenAI pushes new AI agents The Financial Express”
💡 Sam Altman's briefing in Washington about new AI agents signals potential regulatory support and increased adoption, benefiting AI infrastructure and chipmakers.
LONG$GOOGLAlphabet Inc.conf 6/10▲ +0.9% expectedBuy $356.13 → Sell $381.55▲ +7.14% · +$7.14 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$NVDANVIDIA Corporationconf 6/10▲ +1.2% expectedBuy $200.75 → Sell $224.90▲ +12.03% · +$12.03 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$MSFTMicrosoft Corporationconf 5/10▲ +0.6% expectedBuy $464.72 → Sell $510.86▲ +9.93% · +$9.93 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$SMCISuper Micro Computer, Inc.conf 5/10▲ +0.9% expectedBuy $28.40 → Sell $32.34▲ +13.87% · +$13.87 per $100✓ hit expected move
Donald J. Trump
“Live - US canceled Iran attack after deal framework reached, Trump says - Iran International
Live - US canceled Iran attack after deal framework reached, Trump says Iran International”
💡 Report that the US canceled an attack on Iran after a deal framework was reached, as stated by Trump, is bullish for oil and defense stocks due to de-escalation.
LONG$SPYState Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trustconf 7/10▲ +1% expectedBuy $747.03 → Sell $773.70▲ +3.57% · +$3.57 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETFconf 6/10▼ −1.8% expectedBuy $239.66 → Sell $238.94▲ +0.3% · +$0.30 per $100
SHORT$USOUnited States Oil Fund, LPconf 6/10▼ −2% expectedBuy $129.17 → Sell $114.75▲ +11.16% · +$11.16 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$XLEState Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETFconf 5/10▼ −1.5% expectedBuy $59.55 → Sell $54.67▲ +8.19% · +$8.19 per $100✓ hit expected move
Pete Hegseth
“Trump says U.S. and Israel to hold off on Iran strikes - The Japan Times
Trump says U.S. and Israel to hold off on Iran strikes The Japan Times”
💡 Report suggests U.S. and Israel will delay strikes on Iran, reducing geopolitical risk and benefiting oil and defense sectors.
LONG$SPYState Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trustconf 7/10▲ +0.7% expectedBuy $747.03 → Sell $773.70▲ +3.57% · +$3.57 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$USOUnited States Oil Fund, LPconf 6/10▼ −1.5% expectedBuy $129.17 → Sell $114.75▲ +11.16% · +$11.16 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETFconf 5/10▼ −0.7% expectedBuy $239.66 → Sell $238.94▲ +0.3% · +$0.30 per $100
SHORT$XLEState Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETFconf 5/10▼ −1% expectedBuy $59.55 → Sell $54.67▲ +8.19% · +$8.19 per $100✓ hit expected move
Donald J. Trump
“The U.S.A. is locked and loaded and ready to go against the Islamic Republic of Iran, at levels of Military Terror, Strength, and Power not seen since World War II. Despite this, we have just been asked by Iran, and other Middle Eastern Cou”
💡 Trump announced a potential deal with Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz and end nuclear threats, leading to a cancelled attack. This could reduce oil prices but increase defense stock volatility.
LONG$DALDelta Air Lines, Inc.conf 7/10▲ +2.5% expectedBuy $87.44 → Sell $94.08▲ +7.59% · +$7.59 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$SPYState Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trustconf 7/10▲ +1.5% expectedBuy $747.03 → Sell $773.70▲ +3.57% · +$3.57 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$USOUnited States Oil Fund, LPconf 7/10▼ −3% expectedBuy $129.17 → Sell $114.75▲ +11.16% · +$11.16 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETFconf 6/10▼ −2% expectedBuy $239.66 → Sell $238.94▲ +0.3% · +$0.30 per $100
SHORT$XLEState Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETFconf 6/10▼ −2.5% expectedBuy $59.55 → Sell $54.67▲ +8.19% · +$8.19 per $100✓ hit expected move
Elon Musk
“Elon Musk's Tesla Delivered 480,126 Vehicles in Q2, a 25% Jump From a Year Ago - The Motley Fool
Elon Musk's Tesla Delivered 480,126 Vehicles in Q2, a 25% Jump From a Year Ago The Motley Fool”
“Trump Threatens to Revive $1.8 Billion Fund for Allies Over Blanche Standoff - The New York Times
Trump Threatens to Revive $1.8 Billion Fund for Allies Over Blanche Standoff The New York Times”
💡 Trump's threat to revive a $1.8 billion fund for allies due to a standoff with Acting AG Blanche could impact defense contractors and the broad market, depending on the fund's specific allocation.
LONG$LMTLockheed Martin Corporationconf 5/10▲ +1.2% expectedBuy $582.74 → Sell $592.50▲ +1.67% · +$1.67 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$RTXRTX Corporationconf 5/10▲ +0.9% expectedBuy $215.22 → Sell $219.75▲ +2.1% · +$2.10 per $100✓ hit expected move
NEUTRAL$SPYState Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trustconf 5/10no clear movetracking…
Donald J. Trump
“Because of President Donald J. Trump, Oil Exports are SURGING!”
💡 Trump claims U.S. oil exports are surging, which is bullish for U.S. oil producers and the broader energy sector.
LONG$XOMExxonMobil Holdings Corporationconf 6/10▲ +1% expectedBuy $155.44 → Sell $159.88▲ +2.85% · +$2.85 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$USOUnited States Oil Fund, LPconf 5/10▲ +0.7% expectedBuy $129.17 → Sell $125.45▼ −2.88% · $-2.88 per $100
LONG$XLEState Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETFconf 5/10▲ +0.8% expectedBuy $59.55 → Sell $59.55▼ 0% · $0.00 per $100
Scott Bessent
“US Treasury undertakes historic intervention in yen market - Financial Times
US Treasury undertakes historic intervention in yen market Financial Times”
💡 Report of US Treasury intervention in the yen market suggests a move to strengthen the yen, which could benefit Japanese exporters and potentially impact US bond yields.
LONG$7203.TToyota Motor Corporationconf 7/10▲ +1% expectedBuy $3067.00 → Sell $3028.00▼ −1.27% · $-1.27 per $100
NEUTRAL$SPYState Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trustconf 5/10no clear movetracking…
Kevin Warsh
“Kevin Warsh’s mission: reviving the era of monetary restraint - The Hill
Kevin Warsh’s mission: reviving the era of monetary restraint The Hill”
💡 Reports suggest Fed Chair Warsh aims for monetary restraint, implying higher rates and tighter policy, which is bearish for growth stocks and bullish for inverse bond ETFs.
LONG$TBTProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasuryconf 8/10▲ +2.5% expectedBuy $38.45 → Sell $38.73▲ +0.73% · +$0.73 per $100
LONG$XLFState Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETFconf 7/10▲ +1.3% expectedBuy $56.94 → Sell $58.00▲ +1.86% · +$1.86 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$QQQInvesco QQQ Trustconf 6/10▼ −2% expectedBuy $687.99 → Sell $652.23▲ +5.2% · +$5.20 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$SPYState Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trustconf 6/10▼ −1.2% expectedBuy $747.03 → Sell $706.43▲ +5.43% · +$5.43 per $100✓ hit expected move
Federal Reserve
“President Donald Trump Just Threw the Federal Reserve Under the Bus Yet Again Over Interest Rates - The Motley Fool
President Donald Trump Just Threw the Federal Reserve Under the Bus Yet Again Over Interest Rates The Motley Fool”
💡 President Trump's renewed criticism of the Federal Reserve over interest rates could increase political pressure on the Fed, potentially leading to market uncertainty and a bearish outlook for rate-sensitive sectors.
LONG$TLTiShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETFconf 7/10▲ +1% expectedBuy $82.25 → Sell $82.65▲ +0.49% · +$0.49 per $100
SHORT$XLFState Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETFconf 6/10▼ −1% expectedBuy $56.94 → Sell $56.94▼ 0% · $0.00 per $100
SHORT$QQQInvesco QQQ Trustconf 5/10▼ −0.8% expectedBuy $687.99 → Sell $652.23▲ +5.2% · +$5.20 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$SPYState Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trustconf 5/10▼ −0.6% expectedBuy $747.03 → Sell $706.43▲ +5.43% · +$5.43 per $100✓ hit expected move
Kevin Warsh
“Fed’s Warsh spurs bond market fear, plus what moved markets this week - Detroit Free Press
Fed’s Warsh spurs bond market fear, plus what moved markets this week Detroit Free Press”
💡 A news report indicates Fed Chair Warsh's comments are sparking fear in the bond market, suggesting potential for rising interest rates and a negative impact on rate-sensitive sectors.
LONG$KREState Street SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETFconf 4/10▲ +0.7% expectedBuy $76.06 → Sell $77.65▲ +2.09% · +$2.09 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$TLTiShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETFconf 8/10▼ −1.8% expectedBuy $82.25 → Sell $81.93▲ +0.39% · +$0.39 per $100
SHORT$XHBState Street SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETFconf 7/10▼ −1.5% expectedBuy $103.69 → Sell $104.50▼ −0.78% · $-0.78 per $100
SHORT$SPYState Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trustconf 4/10▼ −0.6% expectedBuy $747.03 → Sell $706.43▲ +5.43% · +$5.43 per $100✓ hit expected move
Cathie Wood
“Cathie Wood Buys More Circle Stock Amid New York License Success - CoinGape
Cathie Wood Buys More Circle Stock Amid New York License Success CoinGape”
💡 Cathie Wood's ARK Invest reportedly increased its stake in Circle, a private company, following its New York license success, which is bullish for the crypto and blockchain sector.
LONG$ARKKARK Innovation ETFconf 8/10▲ +1% expectedBuy $71.24 → Sell $74.74▲ +4.91% · +$4.91 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$BKCHGlobal X Blockchain ETFconf 7/10▲ +1.2% expectedBuy $65.36 → Sell $68.69▲ +5.09% · +$5.09 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$COINCoinbase Global, Inc.conf 7/10▲ +1.5% expectedBuy $146.26 → Sell $152.43▲ +4.22% · +$4.22 per $100✓ hit expected move
Kevin Warsh
“Kevin Warsh Did Not Impress the Bond Market -- 30-Year Yields Are Up to 5.2%. Here's What This Might Mean for Investors in These 2 ETFs. - The Motley Fool
Kevin Warsh Did Not Impress the Bond Market -- 30-Year Yields Are Up to 5.2%. Here's”
💡 Kevin Warsh's comments failed to reassure bond markets, pushing 30-year Treasury yields higher, which is bearish for long-duration assets and growth stocks.
LONG$XLFState Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETFconf 7/10▲ +0.9% expectedBuy $56.94 → Sell $58.00▲ +1.86% · +$1.86 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$TLTiShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETFconf 8/10▼ −1.5% expectedBuy $82.25 → Sell $82.01▲ +0.29% · +$0.29 per $100
SHORT$QQQInvesco QQQ Trustconf 6/10▼ −0.8% expectedBuy $687.99 → Sell $652.23▲ +5.2% · +$5.20 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$SPYState Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trustconf 6/10▼ −0.6% expectedBuy $747.03 → Sell $706.43▲ +5.43% · +$5.43 per $100✓ hit expected move
Pete Hegseth
“Secretary Hegseth Unveils $1.5 Trillion Defense Push As President Trump Doubles Down On Iran - indica News
Secretary Hegseth Unveils $1.5 Trillion Defense Push As President Trump Doubles Down On Iran indica News”
💡 Secretary Hegseth's announcement of a $1.5 trillion defense push and President Trump's stance on Iran are bullish for U.S. defense contractors and the broader defense sector.
“Elon Musk's fortune slumps to pre-SpaceX IPO levels after rout - Moneycontrol.com
Elon Musk's fortune slumps to pre-SpaceX IPO levels after rout Moneycontrol.com”
💡 Report of Elon Musk's fortune declining to pre-SpaceX IPO levels suggests a significant rout, likely impacting Tesla (TSLA) due to his primary wealth concentration.
SHORT$TSLATesla, Inc.conf 6/10▼ −2% expectedBuy $311.21 → Sell $302.92▲ +2.66% · +$2.66 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$QQQInvesco QQQ Trustconf 5/10▼ −0.7% expectedBuy $687.99 → Sell $652.23▲ +5.2% · +$5.20 per $100✓ hit expected move
Todd Blanche
“Why senators fear Trump’s DOJ payout fund isn’t dead, despite Blanche’s promises - washingtonpost.com
Why senators fear Trump’s DOJ payout fund isn’t dead, despite Blanche’s promises washingtonpost.com”
💡 Concerns that a Trump-era DOJ payout fund could be revived create uncertainty, potentially increasing legal risks for companies and the broad market.
SHORT$KBEState Street SPDR S&P Bank ETFconf 5/10▼ −1% expectedBuy $69.65 → Sell $69.75▼ −0.14% · $-0.14 per $100
SHORT$SPYState Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trustconf 5/10▼ −0.6% expectedBuy $747.03 → Sell $706.43▲ +5.43% · +$5.43 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$XLVState Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETFconf 4/10▼ −0.8% expectedBuy $162.55 → Sell $161.35▲ +0.74% · +$0.74 per $100
“Elon Musk’s wealth plummets to pre-SpaceX IPO level - AFR
Elon Musk’s wealth plummets to pre-SpaceX IPO level AFR”
💡 A report on Elon Musk's wealth decline, potentially linked to SpaceX's valuation, could negatively impact Tesla (TSLA) due to his significant stake and the perceived value of his ventures.
SHORT$TSLATesla, Inc.conf 7/10▼ −1.8% expectedBuy $311.21 → Sell $302.92▲ +2.66% · +$2.66 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$SPYState Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trustconf 3/10▼ −0.2% expectedBuy $747.03 → Sell $706.43▲ +5.43% · +$5.43 per $100✓ hit expected move
Todd Blanche
“Washington Roundup: Blanche nomination in limbo, shutdown deadline looms - OSV News
Washington Roundup: Blanche nomination in limbo, shutdown deadline looms OSV News”
💡 Uncertainty around the Attorney General nomination and a looming government shutdown deadline could negatively impact broad market sentiment and government contractors.
SHORT$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETFconf 5/10▼ −1% expectedBuy $239.30 → Sell $236.21▲ +1.29% · +$1.29 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$SPYState Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trustconf 5/10▼ −0.6% expectedBuy $744.90 → Sell $706.43▲ +5.16% · +$5.16 per $100✓ hit expected move
Elon Musk
“Elon Musk Has Missed His Own Robotaxi Timelines Four Times Since 2025. Should Investors Still Believe the Next One? - The Motley Fool
Elon Musk Has Missed His Own Robotaxi Timelines Four Times Since 2025. Should Investors Still Believe the”
💡 Report highlights Elon Musk's repeated missed robotaxi deadlines, raising concerns about Tesla's autonomous driving prospects and potentially weighing on TSLA stock.
SHORT$TSLATesla, Inc.conf 7/10▼ −1.5% expectedBuy $309.88 → Sell $298.68▲ +3.62% · +$3.62 per $100✓ hit expected move
Pete Hegseth
“Hegseth vows Americans will be ‘seeing and feeling their military’ even more after Blue Angels buzz beachgoers - The Independent
Hegseth vows Americans will be ‘seeing and feeling their military’ even more after Blue Angels buzz beachgoers”
💡 Secretary Hegseth's vow to increase military visibility suggests potential for higher defense spending and activity, benefiting U.S. defense contractors.
LONG$LMTLockheed Martin Corporationconf 7/10▲ +1.2% expectedBuy $580.51 → Sell $589.41▲ +1.53% · +$1.53 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$RTXRTX Corporationconf 7/10▲ +1.1% expectedBuy $214.83 → Sell $218.13▲ +1.54% · +$1.54 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$GDGeneral Dynamics Corporationconf 6/10▲ +1% expectedBuy $382.58 → Sell $388.92▲ +1.66% · +$1.66 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETFconf 6/10▲ +0.8% expectedBuy $239.74 → Sell $245.31▲ +2.32% · +$2.32 per $100✓ hit expected move
JD Vance
“Zelensky and Vance hold talks on Ukraine’s air defense - Latest news from Azerbaijan
Zelensky and Vance hold talks on Ukraine’s air defense Latest news from Azerbaijan”
💡 Talks between VP Vance and President Zelensky on Ukraine's air defense could signal continued U.S. military aid, potentially benefiting defense contractors while increasing geopolitical tensions.
LONG$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETFconf 6/10▲ +0.8% expectedBuy $239.97 → Sell $245.31▲ +2.23% · +$2.23 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$LMTLockheed Martin Corporationconf 6/10▲ +1% expectedBuy $580.44 → Sell $589.41▲ +1.55% · +$1.55 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$RTXRTX Corporationconf 6/10▲ +1.2% expectedBuy $215.35 → Sell $218.13▲ +1.29% · +$1.29 per $100✓ hit expected move
NEUTRAL$SPYState Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trustconf 4/10no clear movetracking…
Kevin Warsh
“Analysis: Markets heard a dovish Kevin Warsh. The Fed chairman's own words suggest a rate hike - CNBC
Analysis: Markets heard a dovish Kevin Warsh. The Fed chairman's own words suggest a rate hike CNBC”
💡 Fed Chair Warsh's dovish comments suggest a potential rate hike, creating uncertainty for interest-rate sensitive sectors.
LONG$XLFState Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETFconf 6/10▲ +1% expectedBuy $57.06 → Sell $58.00▲ +1.65% · +$1.65 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$QQQInvesco QQQ Trustconf 7/10▼ −1.2% expectedBuy $688.29 → Sell $667.36▲ +3.04% · +$3.04 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$XLREState Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETFconf 7/10▼ −1.5% expectedBuy $45.16 → Sell $44.87▲ +0.64% · +$0.64 per $100
NEUTRAL$SPYState Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trustconf 6/10no clear movetracking…
Pete Hegseth
“The Latest: Trump announces deal for Hamas to disarm in Gaza, but hurdles and uncertainty remain - InformNNY.com
The Latest: Trump announces deal for Hamas to disarm in Gaza, but hurdles and uncertainty remain InformNNY.com”
💡 Report of a potential deal for Hamas to disarm in Gaza could reduce geopolitical risk, benefiting broad market sentiment, particularly in energy and defense sectors.
LONG$SPYState Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trustconf 6/10▲ +0.6% expectedBuy $745.59 → Sell $787.52▲ +5.62% · +$5.62 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$USOUnited States Oil Fund, LPconf 8/10▼ −1.7% expectedBuy $129.25 → Sell $119.54▲ +7.51% · +$7.51 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETFconf 5/10▼ −1% expectedBuy $239.39 → Sell $236.21▲ +1.33% · +$1.33 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$LMTLockheed Martin Corporationconf 5/10▼ −0.8% expectedBuy $578.86 → Sell $575.00▲ +0.67% · +$0.67 per $100✓ hit expected move
Kevin Warsh
“As Warsh’s Fed faces pressure to act on inflation, these indicators show it’s at its lowest in years - CNBC
As Warsh’s Fed faces pressure to act on inflation, these indicators show it’s at its lowest in years CNBC”
💡 Reports suggest inflation is at its lowest in years, potentially easing pressure on the Fed and supporting a more dovish monetary policy.
LONG$QQQInvesco QQQ Trustconf 8/10▲ +1.2% expectedBuy $688.78 → Sell $700.81▲ +1.75% · +$1.75 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$TLTiShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETFconf 8/10▲ +1% expectedBuy $81.93 → Sell $83.35▲ +1.74% · +$1.74 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$SPYState Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trustconf 7/10▲ +0.8% expectedBuy $745.56 → Sell $787.52▲ +5.63% · +$5.63 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$XLFState Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETFconf 5/10▲ +0.5% expectedBuy $57.03 → Sell $58.00▲ +1.7% · +$1.70 per $100✓ hit expected move
Scott Bessent
“Bessent highlights Trump economy, warns China has 'done a lot of kicking lately' - Fox Business
Bessent highlights Trump economy, warns China has 'done a lot of kicking lately' Fox Business”
💡 Treasury Secretary Bessent's warning about China's recent actions suggests potential for increased trade tensions, which could negatively impact U.S. companies with significant exposure to the Chinese market.
SHORT$NVDANVIDIA Corporationconf 6/10▼ −1.6% expectedBuy $199.46 → Sell $193.72▲ +2.88% · +$2.88 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$TSMTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limitedconf 6/10▼ −1.6% expectedBuy $407.99 → Sell $396.00▲ +2.94% · +$2.94 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$XLIState Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETFconf 6/10▼ −0.8% expectedBuy $180.30 → Sell $178.67▲ +0.9% · +$0.90 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$BABAAlibaba Group Holding Limitedconf 5/10▼ −1% expectedBuy $122.14 → Sell $119.11▲ +2.48% · +$2.48 per $100✓ hit expected move
Scott Bessent
“Scott Bessent calls US economy 'envy of the world' as China trade talks resume - Fox Business
Scott Bessent calls US economy 'envy of the world' as China trade talks resume Fox Business”
💡 Treasury Secretary Bessent's positive comments on the US economy and resumption of China trade talks are bullish for broad market sentiment and trade-exposed sectors.
LONG$FXIiShares China Large-Cap ETFconf 7/10▲ +1% expectedBuy $36.38 → Sell $36.55▲ +0.47% · +$0.47 per $100
LONG$QQQInvesco QQQ Trustconf 7/10▲ +0.8% expectedBuy $689.77 → Sell $699.88▲ +1.47% · +$1.47 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$SPYState Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trustconf 6/10▲ +0.6% expectedBuy $746.05 → Sell $787.52▲ +5.56% · +$5.56 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$XLIState Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETFconf 6/10▲ +0.6% expectedBuy $180.18 → Sell $182.56▲ +1.32% · +$1.32 per $100✓ hit expected move
Federal Reserve
“Fed hawks are on the war path, sending mortgage rates higher - HousingWire
Fed hawks are on the war path, sending mortgage rates higher HousingWire”
💡 Reports of 'Fed hawks on the war path' suggest higher interest rates, which is bearish for rate-sensitive sectors like housing and consumer discretionary.
SHORT$LGIHLGI Homes, Inc.conf 6/10▼ −2% expectedBuy $55.71 → Sell $54.52▲ +2.14% · +$2.14 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$XHBState Street SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETFconf 6/10▼ −1.5% expectedBuy $104.47 → Sell $103.00▲ +1.41% · +$1.41 per $100
SHORT$SPGSimon Property Group, Inc.conf 5/10▼ −1% expectedBuy $231.20 → Sell $225.09▲ +2.64% · +$2.64 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$SPYState Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trustconf 5/10▼ −0.5% expectedBuy $744.35 → Sell $729.08▲ +2.05% · +$2.05 per $100✓ hit expected move
Pete Hegseth
“Months later, Hegseth’s claim of a ‘contained’ war with Iran appears foolish - MS NOW
Months later, Hegseth’s claim of a ‘contained’ war with Iran appears foolish MS NOW”
💡 A news report suggests Secretary Hegseth's claim of a contained war with Iran was incorrect, implying potential escalation and negative impact on global oil prices and defense stocks.
LONG$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETFconf 6/10▲ +1.2% expectedBuy $237.65 → Sell $245.31▲ +3.22% · +$3.22 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$USOUnited States Oil Fund, LPconf 6/10▲ +1.5% expectedBuy $129.91 → Sell $134.59▲ +3.6% · +$3.60 per $100✓ hit expected move
LONG$XLEState Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETFconf 5/10▲ +1.2% expectedBuy $58.90 → Sell $60.29▲ +2.36% · +$2.36 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$SPYState Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trustconf 5/10▼ −0.8% expectedBuy $740.32 → Sell $729.08▲ +1.52% · +$1.52 per $100✓ hit expected move
Cathie Wood
“Cathie Wood trims Ethereum exposure on 11th anniversary - thestreet.com
Cathie Wood trims Ethereum exposure on 11th anniversary thestreet.com”
💡 Cathie Wood's ARK Invest reportedly trimmed its Ethereum exposure, which could signal a bearish sentiment for Ethereum and related crypto assets.
“Elon Musk denies reports Tesla to split off China business ahead of SpaceX merger - CBT News
Elon Musk denies reports Tesla to split off China business ahead of SpaceX merger CBT News”
💡 Elon Musk's denial of a Tesla China spin-off ahead of a SpaceX merger is bullish for TSLA, removing a potential overhang.
LONG$TSLATesla, Inc.conf 9/10▲ +3% expectedBuy $305.64 → Sell $326.27▲ +6.75% · +$6.75 per $100✓ hit expected move
Todd Blanche
“Trump announced a deal for Hamas to disarm. And, the U.S. economy slowed a bit - NPR
Trump announced a deal for Hamas to disarm. And, the U.S. economy slowed a bit NPR”
💡 Trump's reported deal for Hamas disarmament is bullish for defense and energy, while a slowing U.S. economy is bearish for broad market indices.
LONG$CVXChevron Corporationconf 6/10▲ +1.7% expectedBuy $193.45 → Sell $198.66▲ +2.69% · +$2.69 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$QQQInvesco QQQ Trustconf 7/10▼ −1% expectedBuy $691.30 → Sell $667.36▲ +3.46% · +$3.46 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$SPYState Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trustconf 7/10▼ −0.8% expectedBuy $743.94 → Sell $729.08▲ +2% · +$2.00 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$LMTLockheed Martin Corporationconf 6/10▼ −1.2% expectedBuy $571.82 → Sell $570.89▲ +0.16% · +$0.16 per $100
SHORT$RTXRTX Corporationconf 6/10▼ −1% expectedBuy $214.64 → Sell $212.04▲ +1.21% · +$1.21 per $100✓ hit expected move
Kevin Warsh
“Inflation Worries Prompted Fed Officials to Dissent on Holding Rates Steady - The New York Times
Inflation Worries Prompted Fed Officials to Dissent on Holding Rates Steady The New York Times”
💡 Reports of Fed dissent on holding rates steady due to inflation worries suggest a higher likelihood of future rate hikes, which is bearish for growth stocks and the broader market.
LONG$TBTProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasuryconf 6/10▲ +0.9% expectedBuy $38.40 → Sell $38.80▲ +1.04% · +$1.04 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$QQQInvesco QQQ Trustconf 7/10▼ −1.3% expectedBuy $689.94 → Sell $667.36▲ +3.27% · +$3.27 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$SPYState Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trustconf 7/10▼ −0.9% expectedBuy $743.40 → Sell $729.08▲ +1.93% · +$1.93 per $100✓ hit expected move
Todd Blanche
“Todd Blanche Nomination Stalls Over Trump’s Desire for IRS Immunity for Himself and His Family - LEVEL Man
Todd Blanche Nomination Stalls Over Trump’s Desire for IRS Immunity for Himself and His Family LEVEL Man”
💡 The stalling of Todd Blanche's nomination due to Trump's demand for IRS immunity could signal increased political uncertainty and potential for prolonged legal battles, negatively impacting broad market sentiment and specific sectors like legal services and financial compliance.
SHORT$SPYState Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trustconf 5/10▼ −0.6% expectedBuy $743.87 → Sell $729.08▲ +1.99% · +$1.99 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETFconf 4/10▼ −0.7% expectedBuy $238.50 → Sell $235.87▲ +1.1% · +$1.10 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$KREState Street SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETFconf 4/10▼ −1% expectedBuy $75.98 → Sell $75.29▲ +0.91% · +$0.91 per $100
Kevin Warsh
“Why corporate bosses are worried about new Kevin Warsh’s stance on interest rates - nypost.com
Why corporate bosses are worried about new Kevin Warsh’s stance on interest rates nypost.com”
💡 Corporate bosses are worried about Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's stance on interest rates, suggesting a hawkish outlook that could negatively impact growth-sensitive sectors.
LONG$XLFState Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETFconf 5/10▲ +0.6% expectedBuy $57.05 → Sell $58.00▲ +1.66% · +$1.66 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$QQQInvesco QQQ Trustconf 8/10▼ −1.5% expectedBuy $693.11 → Sell $667.36▲ +3.71% · +$3.71 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$XHBState Street SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETFconf 8/10▼ −1.2% expectedBuy $104.52 → Sell $103.00▲ +1.46% · +$1.46 per $100✓ hit expected move
SHORT$SPYState Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trustconf 7/10▼ −0.8% expectedBuy $745.82 → Sell $729.08▲ +2.24% · +$2.24 per $100✓ hit expected move